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El Impacto del Bono Juancito Pinto. Un Análisis a Partir de Micro Simulaciones

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  • Yáñes Aguilar, Ernesto

    (IISEC, Universidad Católica Boliviana)

Abstract

El trabajo presenta una evaluación ex ante del Bono Juancito Pinto a partir del uso de técnicas de microsimulación. Específicamente, evalúa el impacto sobre la asistencia escolar, la pobreza y la desigualdad en la distribución del ingreso. Los resultados sugieren que el BJP ha tenido un impacto positivo en la reducción de la inasistencia escolar en el ciclo primario, ha colaborado en la reducción de los niveles de indigencia además de haber mejorado la distribución del ingreso -sobre todo en el sector rural del país-. Posibles mejoras del BJP estarían vinculadas a diferenciar el monto transferido en función de la zona de residencia lo que traería beneficios adicionales sin modificar significativamente los costos administrativos del programa. Instituto de Investigaciones Socio - Económicas; IISEC

Suggested Citation

  • Yáñes Aguilar, Ernesto, 2012. "El Impacto del Bono Juancito Pinto. Un Análisis a Partir de Micro Simulaciones," Documentos de trabajo 6/2012, Instituto de Investigaciones Socio-Económicas (IISEC), Universidad Católica Boliviana.
    • Handle: RePEc:ris:iisecd:2012_006
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Fran??ois Bourguignon & Francisco H. G. Ferreira & Phillippe G. Leite, 2002. "Ex-ante Evaluation of Conditional Cash Transfer Programs: The Case of Bolsa Escola," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series 516, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    2. Kenneth I. Wolpin & Petra E. Todd, 2006. "Assessing the Impact of a School Subsidy Program in Mexico: Using a Social Experiment to Validate a Dynamic Behavioral Model of Child Schooling and Fertility," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 96(5), pages 1384-1417, December.
    3. Fabian Bornhorst, 2009. "How Good Are Ex Ante Program Evaluation Techniques? The Case of School Enrollment in PROGRESA," IMF Working Papers 2009/187, International Monetary Fund.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Evaluación ex ante; micro simulación; transferencias condicionadas; educación; Bono Juancito Pinto; Bolivia; Instituto de Investigaciones Socio - Económicas; IISEC;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development

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