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Modeling Chinese Domestic Cereal Flow due to Stock and Economic Gradient

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  • Toshiaki Ichinose
  • Kai Liu

Abstract

To evaluate vulnerability of cereal transportation and stocks estimated from the land use and supply-demand on cereal in China, two types of numerical models (Non-market type and Market type) were developed and applied to this topic. Input data were 20km-cell base. Target year was around 1995. In case of no cereal transportation, severe cereal shortage appeared in urban regions. In the non-market-type model, cereal was transported from grid-cells with positive cereal stocks to grid-cells with the negative in proportion to the ratio of their GDP. In the market-type model, each grid cell absorbed cereal from surrounding cells in proportion to its GDP (economic potential). In the non-market-type model, regional imbalances of cereal stocks were decreased by the cereal transportation. However, the result in the market-type model showed some risk of decreasing cereal stocks in hinterlands of productive regions and in urban regions far from productive regions, especially coastal zone in the south China, because a quick accumulation of cereal in the coastal municipalities enlarged such regional imbalances.

Suggested Citation

  • Toshiaki Ichinose & Kai Liu, 2017. "Modeling Chinese Domestic Cereal Flow due to Stock and Economic Gradient," International Journal of Social Science Studies, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(10), pages 43-51, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:rfa:journl:v:5:y:2017:i:10:p:43-51
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Grebitus, Carola & Lusk, Jayson L. & Nayga, Rodolfo M., 2013. "Effect of distance of transportation on willingness to pay for food," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 67-75.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    cereal balance; cereal transportation; numerical model; market system; economic potential;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R00 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General - - - General
    • Z0 - Other Special Topics - - General

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