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La política económica de las crisis financieras: una aproximación empírica

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  • Juan Ricardo Perilla Jiménez

    (Departamento Nacional de Planeación)

Abstract

The paper presents a model of political loss to analyze the interrelationship between the political nature of economic decisions and their influence on the probability of financial crisis. Two different definitions of crises, currency and balance of payments, are used to verify the explanatory power of political factors on both definitions of crisis. Also, a probit model is used on a sample of 63 countries between 1985 and 2000. The statistical evidence shows that while political factors are robust when they explain currency crises, they are more ambiguous in the explanation of balance of payments crises.

Suggested Citation

  • Juan Ricardo Perilla Jiménez, 2008. "La política económica de las crisis financieras: una aproximación empírica," Revista de Economía Institucional, Universidad Externado de Colombia - Facultad de Economía, vol. 10(18), pages 179-211, January-J.
    • Handle: RePEc:rei:ecoins:v:10:y:2008:i:18:p:179-211
    as

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    File URL: http://www.uexternado.edu.co/facecono/ecoinstitucional/workingpapers/jperilla18.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial crises; truncated and censored models;

    JEL classification:

    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions
    • F42 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - International Policy Coordination and Transmission
    • O19 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - International Linkages to Development; Role of International Organizations

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