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Factors Affecting an Individual's Future Labour Market Status

Author

Listed:
  • Michelle van der Merwe

    (Reserve Bank of Australia)

Abstract

This article examines the ways in which someone's characteristics and circumstances in one year affect their probability of being in a particular labour market state in the next year. People are more likely to be employed next year if they are currently employed and have tertiary qualifications. In contrast, they are more likely to be unemployed or outside the labour force if they have a long-term health condition, have not completed high school or are a migrant from a non-English-speaking background. Additionally, the article considers the changing importance of determinants over time, noting the role that changes in individual and household preferences as well as broader macroeconomic conditions are likely to have played.

Suggested Citation

  • Michelle van der Merwe, 2016. "Factors Affecting an Individual's Future Labour Market Status," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 11-22, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:rba:rbabul:dec2016-02
    as

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    File URL: https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2016/dec/pdf/rba-bulletin-2016-12-factors-affecting-an-individuals-future-labour-market-status.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Matthew Gray & Alexandra Heath & Boyd Hunter, 2002. "An Exploration of Marginal Attachment to the Australian Labour Market," RBA Research Discussion Papers rdp2002-07, Reserve Bank of Australia.
    2. Arulampalam, Wiji & Booth, Alison L & Taylor, Mark P, 2000. "Unemployment Persistence," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 52(1), pages 24-50, January.
    3. Victoria Prowse, 2012. "Modeling Employment Dynamics With State Dependence and Unobserved Heterogeneity," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(3), pages 411-431, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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