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US Dollar Debt of Emerging Market Firms

Author

Listed:
  • Sasha Kofanova

    (Reserve Bank of Australia)

  • Aaron Walker

    (Reserve Bank of Australia)

  • Eden Hatzvi

    (Reserve Bank of Australia)

Abstract

US dollar-denominated borrowings by emerging market (EM) corporations have increased rapidly in recent years, raising concerns about possible currency mismatch risk. This article uses firm-level data from the top 100 EM corporate bond issuers and Bank for International Settlements (BIS) data on cross-border bank lending at the economy level to gauge such risk. These data indicate that around two-thirds of the largest issuers of US dollar-denominated corporate bonds are at least in part naturally hedged (based on company-specific information), and a significant share of the remaining borrowers are state-owned enterprises. The largest recipients of foreign currency bank loans by country also appear to derive significant US dollar export revenues. This suggests that most EM corporations that have borrowed in US dollars are well placed to weather an appreciation of the US dollar, particularly given the possibility that some have hedged their exposures via financial markets. However, Chinese property developers may be an exception and some EM resource companies may face difficulties as a result of the current low global commodity prices. Corporations will also face higher financing costs on their US dollar-denominated debt as the US Federal Reserve moves to increase its policy rate.

Suggested Citation

  • Sasha Kofanova & Aaron Walker & Eden Hatzvi, 2015. "US Dollar Debt of Emerging Market Firms," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 49-58, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:rba:rbabul:dec2015-06
    as

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    File URL: https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2015/dec/pdf/bu-1215-6.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Stefan Avdjiev & Michael Chui & Hyun Song Shin, 2014. "Non-financial corporations from emerging market economies and capital flows," BIS Quarterly Review, Bank for International Settlements, December.
    2. Eden Hatzvi & Jessica Meredith & William Nixon, 2015. "Chinese Capital Flows and Capital Account Liberalisation," RBA Bulletin (Print copy discontinued), Reserve Bank of Australia, pages 39-48, December.
    3. Valentina Bruno & Hyun Song Shin, 2017. "Global Dollar Credit and Carry Trades: A Firm-Level Analysis," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 30(3), pages 703-749.
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    Cited by:

    1. José María Serena & Ricardo Sousa, 2017. "Does exchange rate depreciation have contractionary effects on firm-level investment?," BIS Working Papers 624, Bank for International Settlements.
    2. Giraldo, Iader & Turner, Philip, 2022. "The Dollar Debt of Companies in Latin America: the warning signs," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 534, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.

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