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Impacto economico del COVID-19 en negocios pequenos y medianos bajo restricciones voluntarias e impuestas

Author

Listed:
  • Hernan Bejarano

    (Centro de Investigacion y Docencia Economicas (CIDE))

  • Pedro Hancevic

    (Centro de Investigacion y Docencia Economicas (CIDE))

  • Hector M. Nunez

    (Centro de Investigacion y Docencia Economicas (CIDE))

Abstract

Objetivo Analizar el impacto que la pandemia ocasionada por el nuevo coronavirus (COVID-19) ha tenido en los gastos, ventas, expectativas, percepcion de las politicas del gobierno, medidas remediales y de adaptacion frente a la crisis, de pequenas y medianas empresas (PYMES) comerciales y de servicio en la zona metropolitana de Aguascalientes. Metodologia Descripcion de los resultados de la encuesta, pruebas no-parametricas, estimacion de la matriz de transicion y analisis de regresion. Resultados Evidencia de a) una dramatica caida en los ingresos frente a cierta inflexibilidad hacia la baja de los gastos, b) dispares estrategias que los establecimientos han adoptado para sobrellevar la crisis y diferentes resultados correlacionados con ellas, c) expectativas pesimistas de que se regrese pronto a la normalidad. Limitaciones e implicaciones Dificultad de identificar causalidad y generalizacion de los resultados. Originalidad y valor Encuesta extendida que caracteriza la situacion economica previa a la pandemia del COVID-19 y durante la misma, tanto asi como las expectativas de establecimientos comerciales y de servicios en Mexico. Conclusiones Un gran numero de PYMES estaria en una situacion economica comprometida en el presente y futuro inmediato como resultado de la pandemia ocasionada por el nuevo coronavirus. Se resalta la necesidad de desarrollo de politicas y estrategias que mejoren sus posibilidades de supervivencia.

Suggested Citation

  • Hernan Bejarano & Pedro Hancevic & Hector M. Nunez, 2021. "Impacto economico del COVID-19 en negocios pequenos y medianos bajo restricciones voluntarias e impuestas," EconoQuantum, Revista de Economia y Finanzas, Universidad de Guadalajara, Centro Universitario de Ciencias Economico Administrativas, Departamento de Metodos Cuantitativos y Maestria en Economia., vol. 18(2), pages 23-56, Julio-Dic.
    • Handle: RePEc:qua:journl:v:18:y:2021:i:2:p:23-56
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Bruno Carvalho & Susana Peralta & Joao Pereira dos Santos, 2020. "What and how did people buy during the Great Lockdown? Evidence from electronic payments," Working Papers ECARES 2020-20, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    2. Imran Rasul, 2020. "The Economics of Viral Outbreaks," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 110, pages 265-268, May.
    3. Alexander W. Bartik & Marianne Bertrand & Zoe Cullen & Edward L. Glaeser & Michael Luca & Christopher Stanton, 2020. "The impact of COVID-19 on small business outcomes and expectations," Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, vol. 117(30), pages 17656-17666, July.
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • D84 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Expectations; Speculations
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • I15 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health and Economic Development
    • I18 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Government Policy; Regulation; Public Health
    • I19 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Other
    • L8 - Industrial Organization - - Industry Studies: Services

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