IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/pid/journl/v55y2016i3p191-210.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Determinants of Pakistan Exports of Textile: An Integrated Demand and Supply Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Rabia Latif

    (Lecturer, Al-Amir Foundation Degree College for Women, Dautala, Pakistan)

  • Attiya Yasmin Javid

    (Professor, Department of Economics, PIDE, Islamabad, Pakistan)

Abstract

The determinants of demand and supply of textile and clothing exports of Pakistan are examined for seven major trading partners (US, UK, Canada, Italy, France, Japan and Spain) over the period 1972 to 2013. The simultaneous equation model is estimated by Generalised Method of Moment to handle simultaneous equation bias and for consistent and more precise estimates classical Empirical Bayes technique is applied. The results reveal that income of trading partners and devaluation policy has important and significant role in explaining exports performance of textile and clothing of Pakistan. As regards the supply side, the relative prices and capacity variable are important in determining the textile and clothing exports, however, the real wages have significant but small effect on textile and clothing exports supply. The removal of quantitative restrictions fails to provide incentives to the suppliers. The high income elasticity for the demand suggests that focus should be on raising the factors which can help in expansion of textile and clothing products in local market and marked countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Rabia Latif & Attiya Yasmin Javid, 2016. "The Determinants of Pakistan Exports of Textile: An Integrated Demand and Supply Approach," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 55(3), pages 191-210.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:55:y:2016:i:3:p:191-210
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.pide.org.pk/pdf/PDR/2016/Volume3/191-210.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lewis, W Arthur, 1980. "The Slowing Down of the Engine of Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(4), pages 555-564, September.
    2. Carrington, William J & Zaman, Asad, 1994. "Interindustry Variation in the Costs of Job Displacement," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 12(2), pages 243-275, April.
    3. Shigeyuki Hamori & Yoichi Matsubayashi, 2009. "Empirical analysis of export demand behavior of LDCs: Panel cointegration approach," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(3), pages 1990-1999.
    4. Muscatelli, V A & Srinivasan, T G & Vines, D, 1992. "Demand and Supply Factors in the Determination of NIE Exports: A Simultaneous Error-Correction Model for Hong Kong," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 102(415), pages 1467-1477, November.
    5. Morris Goldstein & Mohsin S. Khan, 2017. "The Supply and Demand for Exports: A Simultaneous Approach," World Scientific Book Chapters, in: TRADE CURRENCIES AND FINANCE, chapter 2, pages 83-104, World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd..
    6. Afia Malik, 2000. "Demand for Textile and Clothing Exports of Pakistan," PIDE Research Report 2000:4, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics.
    7. Alexandre Rands & Analice Amazonas, 1993. "Manufacturing Exports from Brazil: Determinants and Consequences," Working Papers 11, Datamétrica Consultoria Econômica, revised 1993.
    8. Havrila, Inka & Gunawardana, Pemasiri, 2006. "Determinants of Export Supply of the Australian Textiles Industry," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(1-2), pages 45-59, March/Sep.
    9. Khan, Mohsin S & Knight, Malcolm D, 1988. "Import Compression and Export Performance in Developing Countries," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 70(2), pages 315-321, May.
    10. Khalid Mustafa & Mohammed Nishat, 2004. "Volatility of Exchange Rate and Export Growth in Pakistan: The Structure and Interdependence in Regional Markets," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 43(4), pages 813-828.
    11. A. J. Abbott & G. De Vita, 2002. "Long-run price and income elasticities of demand for Hong Kong exports: a structural cointegrating VAR approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(8), pages 1025-1032.
    12. Abdelhak S. Senhadji & Claudio E. Montenegro, 1999. "Time Series Analysis of Export Demand Equations: A Cross-Country Analysis," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 46(3), pages 1-2.
    13. A. Aurangzeb & Thanasis Stengos & Asif U. Mohammad, 2005. "Short-Run and Long-Run Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on the Volume of Exports: A Case Study for Pakistan," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 4(3), pages 209-222, December.
    14. Nasiruddin Ahmed, 2000. "Export response to trade liberalization in Bangladesh: a cointegration analysis," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(8), pages 1077-1084.
    15. H. Bhatti, Razzaque, 1997. "On Single- and Multi-Market Unbiasedness of F o rw a rd Exchange Rates: Some Evidence from Four Asian Countries," Journal of Economic Integration, Center for Economic Integration, Sejong University, vol. 12, pages 402-417.
    16. repec:bla:scandj:v:83:y:1981:i:3:p:444-48 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Muscatelli, Vito Antonio & Stevenson, Andrew A & Montagna, Catia, 1995. "Modeling Aggregate Manufactured Exports for Some Asian Newly Industrialized Economies," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 77(1), pages 147-155, February.
    18. Francis In & Pasquale Sgro, 1998. "Export growth and its determinants: some evidence for South Korea and Singapore," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(4), pages 225-230.
    19. Peter Warr & Frances Wollmer, 1997. "Testing the small‐country assumption: Thailand's rice exports," Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 2(2), pages 133-143.
    20. Zeshan Atique & Mohsin Hasnain Ahmad, 2003. "The Supply and Demand for Exports of Pakistan: The Polynomial Distributed Lag Model (PDL) Approach," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 42(4), pages 961-972.
    21. Michael Funke & Sean Holly, 1992. "The determinants of West German exports of manufactures: An integrated demand and supply approach," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 128(3), pages 498-512, September.
    22. Sajjad Akhtar & Fauzia Malik, 2000. "Pakistan’s Trade Performance vis-à-vis Its Major Trading Partners," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 39(1), pages 37-50.
    23. Houthakker, Hendrik S & Magee, Stephen P, 1969. "Income and Price Elasticities in World Trade," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 51(2), pages 111-125, May.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Park-Poaps H, 2018. "The Roles Technological Advancement and Knowledge Transfers in the Global Textiles and Clothing Sector," Current Trends in Fashion Technology & Textile Engineering, Juniper Publishers Inc., vol. 2(1), pages 13-17, January.
    2. Rao Muhammad Atif & Haider Mahmood & Liu Haiyun & Haiou Mao, 2019. "Determinants and efficiency of Pakistan’s chemical products’ exports: An application of stochastic frontier gravity model," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 14(5), pages 1-15, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wani, Mr. Nassir Ul Haq & Dhami, Dr. Jasdeep Kaur & Sidana, Dr. Neeru, 2016. "India's trade linkage with BRCS: An econometric study," MPRA Paper 81949, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 18 Mar 2017.
    2. Koi Nyen Wong & Tuck Cheong Tang, 2009. "Exchange rate variability and the export demand for Malaysia's semiconductors: an empirical study," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 43(6), pages 695-706.
    3. Rudy Rahmaddi & Masaru Ichihashi, 2011. "How Do Foreign and Domestic Demand Affect Exports Performance? An Econometric Investigation of Indonesia's Exports," IDEC DP2 Series 1-4, Hiroshima University, Graduate School for International Development and Cooperation (IDEC), revised Jan 2012.
    4. Athanasoglou, Panayiotis P. & Bardaka, Ioanna C., 2010. "New trade theory, non-price competitiveness and export performance," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 217-228, January.
    5. Utku UTKULU & Dilek SEYMEN & Aydin ARI, 2010. "Export Supply and Trade Reform: The Turkish Evidence," EcoMod2004 330600144, EcoMod.
    6. Tilak Abeysinghe & Keen Meng Choy, 2005. "Modelling Small Economy Exports : The Case of Singapore," Trade Working Papers 21980, East Asian Bureau of Economic Research.
    7. Panayiotis P. Athanasoglou & Ioanna C. Bardaka, 2008. "Price and Non - Price Competitiveness of Exports of Manufactures," Working Papers 69, Bank of Greece.
    8. Lavee, Doron & Beniad, Gilat & Moshe-Jantzis, Moran, 2013. "Israel's foreign trade policy: The benefits of its reform," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 255-270.
    9. Utku Utkulu & Dilek Seymen, 2004. "Trade and Competitiveness Between Turkey and the EU: Time Series Evidence," Working Papers 2004/8, Turkish Economic Association, revised Mar 2004.
    10. Sinha Roy, Saikat, 2007. "Demand and Supply Factors in the Determination of India's Disaggregated Manufactured Exports: A Simultaneous Error-Correction Aprroach," MPRA Paper 68589, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Francesco Aiello & Graziella Bonanno & Alessia Via, 2015. "Again on trade elasticities: evidence from a selected sample of countries," Eurasian Business Review, Springer;Eurasia Business and Economics Society, vol. 5(2), pages 259-287, December.
    12. Cheng, Ka Ming & Kim, Hyeongwoo & Thompson, Henry, 2009. "The Exchange Rate and US Tourism Balance of Trade," MPRA Paper 18318, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    13. Christine Mutz & Thomas Ziesemer, 2008. "Simultaneous estimation of income and price elasticities of export demand, scale economies and total factor productivity growth for Brazil," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(22), pages 2921-2937.
    14. Cheng, Ka Ming, 2020. "Currency devaluation and trade balance: Evidence from the US services trade," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 42(1), pages 20-37.
    15. Cheng, Ka Ming & Kim, Hyeongwoo & Thompson, Henry, 2013. "The real exchange rate and the balance of trade in US tourism," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(C), pages 122-128.
    16. Asif Idrees Agha & Muhammad Saleem Khan, 2006. "An Empirical Analysis of Fiscal Imbalances and Inflation in Pakistan," SBP Research Bulletin, State Bank of Pakistan, Research Department, vol. 2, pages 343-362..
    17. Zeshan Atique & Mohsin Hasnain Ahmad, 2003. "The Supply and Demand for Exports of Pakistan: The Polynomial Distributed Lag Model (PDL) Approach," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 42(4), pages 961-972.
    18. Koi Nyen Wong, 2006. "Demand For Malaysia'S Exports: Evidence From The Electronics Industry," Monash Economics Working Papers 08/06, Monash University, Department of Economics.
    19. Koi Nyen Wong, 2008. "Disaggregated export demand of Malaysia: evidence from the electronics industry," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(7), pages 1-14.
    20. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:6:y:2008:i:7:p:1-14 is not listed on IDEAS
    21. Ka Ming Cheng, 2021. "Financial And Insurance Services Trade: Does Exchange Rate Or Income Matter?," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 59(1), pages 494-509, January.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:55:y:2016:i:3:p:191-210. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Khurram Iqbal (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/pideipk.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.