Exchange rate variability and the export demand for Malaysia's semiconductors: an empirical study

This article examines the effects of exchange rate variability on export demand for semiconductors, which is the largest sub-sector of electronics industry in Malaysia as reported by Malaysian Industrial Development Authority (MIDA, 2004). The empirical results, which are estimated based on the Johansen's multivariate cointegration tests and error-correction model, suggest that there is a unique long-run relationship among quantities of export, relative price, real foreign income and real exchange rate variability. The major finding of this article is that the variability of real exchange rate has some effect on semiconductor exports in both the long run and the short run. In the light of rapid advances in technology in the global markets for electronics products, the findings are useful to policy makers for the design and target of appropriate exchange rate and industrial policies to enhance the export competitiveness of semiconductor industry.