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Trade and Competitiveness Between Turkey and the EU: Time Series Evidence

Author

Listed:
  • Utku Utkulu

    (Dokuz Eylul University)

  • Dilek Seymen

    (Dokuz Eylul University)

Abstract

The paper basically aims to clarify the level of price competitiveness of the Turkish firms towards the EU Single Market in aggregate level. Thus it naturally examines the demand for exports and imports for Turkey in relation to the EU. In order to model the trade between Turkey and the EU, we employ a time series analysis, namely cointegration method with error correction and causality mechanisms, for the period 1963-2002. The paper also deals with the possible effects of factors such as structural breaks, integration of markets, product innovation, supply, and omitted variables as regards the significance and the magnitude of the income and price elasticities. In the light of our empirical findings, some policy implications are drawn.

Suggested Citation

  • Utku Utkulu & Dilek Seymen, 2004. "Trade and Competitiveness Between Turkey and the EU: Time Series Evidence," Working Papers 2004/8, Turkish Economic Association, revised Mar 2004.
  • Handle: RePEc:tek:wpaper:2004/8
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    File URL: http://www.tek.org.tr/dosyalar/D.SEYMEN-U.UTKULU.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Huseyin Tastan, 2005. "Dynamic Interdependence and Volatility Transmission in Turkish and European Equity Markets," Working Papers 2005/10, Turkish Economic Association.
    2. Elif Akbostancı & G. Ipek Tunc & Serap Turut-Asık, 2008. "Environmental impact of customs union agreement with EU on Turkey's trade in manufacturing industry," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(17), pages 2295-2304.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    trade; competitiveness; income and price elasticities; EU; Turkey; time series modeling; cointegration;

    JEL classification:

    • F11 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Neoclassical Models of Trade
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F14 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Empirical Studies of Trade
    • F15 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Economic Integration

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