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Trends and Determinants of Rural Poverty: A Logistic Regression Analysis of Selected Districts of Punjab

Author

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  • Amara Amjad Hashmi

    (Department of Economics, University of Sargodha.)

  • Maqbool H. Sial

    (Department of Economics, University of Sargodha.)

  • Maaida Hussain Hashmi

    (Department of Economics, University of Sargodha.)

Abstract

Poverty is widespread in the rural areas, where the people are in a state of human deprivation with regard to incomes, clothing, housing, health care, education, sanitary facilities and human rights. Nearly 61 percent of the country’s populations live in rural areas. In Pakistan poverty has been increased in rural areas and is higher than urban areas. Of the total rural population 65 percent are directly or indirectly linked with agriculture sector. In Pakistan more than 44.8 percent people generate their income from agriculture sector, and the higher rate of increase in poverty in the rural areas has provoked debate on growth and productivity trends in the agriculture sector. Therefore, it is the need of the hour to determine such factors which affect the poverty status of a rural household. Utilising unique IFPRI (International Food Policy Research Institute) panel data together with sub-sample of PRHS (Pakistan Rural Household Survey) for two districts of Punjab (Attock and Faisalabad) the present study aim at analysing and estimating the rural poverty trends and determinants of rural poverty from the late 1980s to 2002. The data was analysed by using binary logistic model and head count measure. The results show that the chance of a household tripping to poverty increased due to increase in household size, dependency ratio, while, education, value of livestock, remittances and farming decreased the likelihood of being a poor. Moreover, the socio-economic opportunities as represented by the availability of infrastructure in the residential region also play a significant role in the level of poverty faced by a household. This study makes a modest contribution by attempting to analyse the need for focusing on anti-poverty policies, which can nip the evil in the bud.

Suggested Citation

  • Amara Amjad Hashmi & Maqbool H. Sial & Maaida Hussain Hashmi, 2008. "Trends and Determinants of Rural Poverty: A Logistic Regression Analysis of Selected Districts of Punjab," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 47(4), pages 909-923.
    • Handle: RePEc:pid:journl:v:47:y:2008:i:4:p:909-923
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Manzoor Hussain Memon, 2023. "Poverty, Gap and Severity Estimates for Disaster Prone Rural Areas of Pakistan," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 166(3), pages 645-663, April.
    2. Kifayat Ullah & M. Tariq Majeed & Ghulam Mustafa, 2020. "Exploring Spatial Patterns and Determinants of Poverty: New Evidence from Pakistan," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 59(3), pages 439-459.
    3. Muhammad Abrar ul haq & Mohd Razani Mohd Jali & Gazi Md Nural Islam, 2018. "Assessment of the role of household empowerment in alleviating participatory poverty among rural household of Pakistan," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 52(6), pages 2795-2814, November.
    4. Chengchao Wang & Yuan Wang & Haiyan Fang & Bidan Gao & Zudeng Weng & Ying Tian, 2020. "Determinants of Rural Poverty in Remote Mountains of Southeast China from the Household Perspective," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 150(3), pages 793-810, August.
    5. Hameed, Abdul & Padda, Ihtsham ul Haq & Karim, Shahid, 2016. "Multidimensional Poverty Mapping for Rural Pakistan," MPRA Paper 85022, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Nurgül EVCİM & Sevcan GÜNEŞ & Hacer Simay KARAALP-ORHAN, 2020. "Factors Influencing the Household Relative Poverty in Turkey: Logistic Regression Analysis," Sosyoekonomi Journal, Sosyoekonomi Society, issue 28(43).
    7. Kifayat Ullah & Abdul Qayyum Mohsin & Abdul Saboor & Saranjam Baig, 2020. "Financial Inclusion, Socioeconomic Disaster Risks and Sustainable Mountain Development: Empirical Evidence from the Karakoram Valleys of Pakistan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-26, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Rural Poverty; Poverty Trends; Agriculture Growth; Determinants;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O18 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Urban, Rural, Regional, and Transportation Analysis; Housing; Infrastructure
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty

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