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Forecasting with dynamic spatial panel data: practical implementation methods

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  • Bernard Fingleton

Abstract

This paper addresses the issue of how in practice one might predict given that the data generating process is a dynamic spatial panel model. One period ahead predictions are calculated using various alternative predictors, some of which are misspecified, and their relative performance evaluated.

Suggested Citation

  • Bernard Fingleton, 2014. "Forecasting with dynamic spatial panel data: practical implementation methods," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 3(4), pages 194-207.
  • Handle: RePEc:ove:journl:aid:10430
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    File URL: http://www.unioviedo.es/reunido/index.php/EBL/article/view/10430
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    1. Nicolas DEBARSY (CERPE De Namur) & Cem ERTUR & James P. LeSAGE, 2010. "Interpreting Dynamic Space-Time Panel Data Models," LEO Working Papers / DR LEO 800, Orleans Economics Laboratory / Laboratoire d'Economie d'Orleans (LEO), University of Orleans.
    2. Baltagi, Badi H. & Bresson, Georges & Pirotte, Alain, 2012. "Forecasting with spatial panel data," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(11), pages 3381-3397.
    3. Bernard Fingleton, 2009. "Prediction Using Panel Data Regression with Spatial Random Effects," International Regional Science Review, , vol. 32(2), pages 195-220, April.
    4. Badi H. Baltagi & Bernard Fingleton & Alain Pirotte, 2014. "Estimating and Forecasting with a Dynamic Spatial Panel Data Model," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 76(1), pages 112-138, February.
    5. Anderson, T. W. & Hsiao, Cheng, 1982. "Formulation and estimation of dynamic models using panel data," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 18(1), pages 47-82, January.
    6. Kapoor, Mudit & Kelejian, Harry H. & Prucha, Ingmar R., 2007. "Panel data models with spatially correlated error components," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 140(1), pages 97-130, September.
    7. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
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    1. repec:eee:regeco:v:76:y:2019:i:c:p:13-31 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Álvarez, Inmaculada C. & Barbero, Javier & Zofío, José L., 2016. "A spatial autoregressive panel model to analyze road network spillovers on production," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 83-92.
    3. Federico Lampis, 2016. "Forecasting the sectoral GVA of a small Spanish region," Economics and Business Letters, Oviedo University Press, vol. 5(2), pages 38-44.
    4. Baltagi, Badi H. & Fingleton, Bernard & Pirotte, Alain, 2019. "A time-space dynamic panel data model with spatial moving average errors," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 13-31.
    5. Burridge, Peter & Iacone, Fabrizio & Lazarová, Štěpána, 2015. "Spatial effects in a common trend model of US city-level CPI," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 87-98.

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