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What Killed the Diammonium Phosphate Futures Contract?

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  • Keith Bollman
  • Philip Garcia
  • Sarahelen Thompson

Abstract

Using a survey of industry participants, and an analysis of price relationships, this paper investigates the demise of the diammonium phosphate futures. The results indicate the diammonium phosphate cash and futures markets were not well linked. The results also suggest that the initial specifications of diammonium phosphate futures contract may have resulted in its use as a forward contract with a high rate of delivery, reducing market participation and limiting liquidity. Ultimately, the contract failed because it was a poor hedging tool, and was perceived by the industry not to offer benefits beyond existing contracting and risk management practices. Copyright 2003, Oxford University Press.

Suggested Citation

  • Keith Bollman & Philip Garcia & Sarahelen Thompson, 2003. "What Killed the Diammonium Phosphate Futures Contract?," Review of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 25(2), pages 483-505.
  • Handle: RePEc:oup:revage:v:25:y:2003:i:2:p:483-505
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1111/1467-9353.00151
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    Cited by:

    1. Necla Ilter Kucukcolak, 2019. "Evaluation of Commodity Market Experiences: More Than a Design Issue," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 9(1), pages 66-78.
    2. Quintino, Derick David & David, Sergio Adriani, 2013. "Quantitative analysis of feasibility of hydrous ethanol futures contracts in Brazil," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 927-935.
    3. Rashid, Shahidur, 2015. "Commodity Exchanges and Market Development: What Have we Learned?," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 212488, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    4. Garcia, Philip & Rashid, Shahidur & Winter-Nelson, Alex, 2010. "Purpose and potential for commodity exchanges in African economies:," IFPRI discussion papers 1035, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    5. Yamamoto, Shuhei & Janzen, Joseph P. & Serra, Teresa, 2024. "Autopsy of a futures market failure: Japan’s Dojima rice futures in the early 21st century," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).

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