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The Cost of Job Loss

Author

Listed:
  • Kenneth Burdett
  • Carlos Carrillo-Tudela
  • Melvyn Coles

Abstract

This article identifies an equilibrium theory of wage formation and endogenous quit turnover in a labour market with on-the-job search, where risk averse workers accumulate human capital through learning-by-doing and lose skills while unemployed. Optimal contracting implies the wage paid increases with experience and tenure. Indirect inference using German data determines the deep parameters of the model. The estimated model not only reproduces the large and persistent fall in wages and earnings following job loss, a new structural decomposition finds foregone human capital accumulation (while unemployed) is the worker’s major cost of job loss.

Suggested Citation

  • Kenneth Burdett & Carlos Carrillo-Tudela & Melvyn Coles, 2020. "The Cost of Job Loss," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 87(4), pages 1757-1798.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:restud:v:87:y:2020:i:4:p:1757-1798.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/restud/rdaa014
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    Cited by:

    1. Kostøl, Andreas Ravndal & Merkle, Matthew C. & Grindaker, Morten, 2024. "Layoff Costs and Learning about Employer Financial Distress," IZA Discussion Papers 17340, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. Audoly, Richard & De Pace, Federica & Fella, Giulio, 2022. "Job Ladder, Human Capital, and the Cost of Job Loss," CEPR Discussion Papers 17746, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    3. Ábrahám, Árpád & Brogueira de Sousa, João & Marimon, Ramon & Mayr, Lukas, 2023. "On the design of a European Unemployment Insurance System," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    4. Katovich, Erik & Parker, Dominic & Poelhekke, Steven, 2023. "Timing is Everything: Labor Market Winners and Losers during Boom-Bust Cycles," CEPR Discussion Papers 17887, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    5. Yu, Mingzhe & Deng, Xin, 2021. "The Inheritance of Marketization Level and Regional Human Capital Accumulation: Evidence from China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 43(C).
    6. Rud, Juan-Pablo & Simmons, Michael & Toews, Gerhard & Aragon, Fernando, 2024. "Job displacement costs of phasing out coal," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    7. Garita, Jonathan & Pastrana, Guillermo & Slon, Pablo, 2024. "Job displacement effects and labor market sorting during COVID-19," Latin American Journal of Central Banking (previously Monetaria), Elsevier, vol. 5(2).
    8. Árpád Ábrahám & João Brogueira de Sousa & Ramon Marimon & Lukas Mayr, 2022. "On the design of a european unemployment insurance system," Economics Working Papers 1826, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    9. Vassilis Monastiriotis & Ian R Gordon & Ioannis Laliotis, 2021. "Uneven geographies of economic recovery and the stickiness of individual displacement," Cambridge Journal of Regions, Economy and Society, Cambridge Political Economy Society, vol. 14(1), pages 157-178.
    10. William J. Carrington & Bruce Fallick, 2017. "Why Do Earnings Fall with Job Displacement?," Industrial Relations: A Journal of Economy and Society, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(4), pages 688-722, October.
    11. Kjell G. Salvanes & Barton Willage & Alexander Willén, 2024. "The Effect of Labor Market Shocks across the Life Cycle," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 42(1), pages 121-160.
    12. Cynthia Doniger, 2023. "Wage Dispersion with Heterogeneous Wage Contracts," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 51, pages 138-160, December.
    13. Isaac Baley & Ana Figueiredo & Cristiano Mantovani & Alireza Sepahsalari, 2025. "Self-insurance in turbulent labor markets," Economics Working Papers 1931, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
    14. Groiss, Martin, 2024. "Equalizing Monetary Policy - the Earnings Heterogeneity Channel in Action," VfS Annual Conference 2024 (Berlin): Upcoming Labor Market Challenges 302346, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    15. Jake Bradley & Lukas Mann, 2023. "Learning about labour markets," Discussion Papers 2023/01, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    16. Miele, Kai R., 2024. "Mental Health and Labor Market Effects of Anticipating Job Loss," CINCH Working Paper Series (since 2020) 82169, Duisburg-Essen University Library, DuEPublico.
    17. Bradley, Jake & Mann, Lukas, 2024. "Learning about labor markets," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    18. Jim Been & Eduard Suari‐Andreu & Marike Knoef & Rob Alessie, 2024. "Consumption and time use responses to unemployment: Implications for the lifecycle model," Economica, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 91(361), pages 1-32, January.
    19. Cristina Lafuente and Astrid Ruland, 2022. "Short-Time Work schemes and labour market flows in Europe during COVID," Economics Working Papers EUI ECO 2022/02, European University Institute.
    20. Jake Bradley & Axel Gottfries, 2021. "A job ladder model with stochastic employment opportunities," Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 12(4), pages 1399-1430, November.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • J64 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search
    • J41 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Labor Contracts
    • J42 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Particular Labor Markets - - - Monopsony; Segmented Labor Markets

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