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A Framework For The Treatment Of Financial Contagion Effects In The Context Of The Actual European Turbulences

Author

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  • Prelipcean Gabriela

    (University "Stefan cel Mare" of Suceava, Romania)

  • Boscoianu Mircea

Abstract

There is still a debate regarding a possible restoring of the confidence in European financial markets because there are still underlying problems from the super-sized finance that actually worsened. Anti crisis strategy efficiency and future costs of real reform make analysts more prudent in forecasts. In addition, a possible reduction risk appetite and the loss of confidence will fuel a negative perspective regarding the recovery of emerging economies, extreme fragile to regional or global contagion effects. In modern financial crises, the events spiral out of control, panic and contagion come very fast. Greek debt crisis is the most serious extreme financial event in the Eurozone, with severe contagion features. An analysis of Eurocontagion effects in the context of Greece crisis by using a dynamic version of the Hawkes jump-diffusion model is suggested.

Suggested Citation

  • Prelipcean Gabriela & Boscoianu Mircea, 2010. "A Framework For The Treatment Of Financial Contagion Effects In The Context Of The Actual European Turbulences," Annals of Faculty of Economics, University of Oradea, Faculty of Economics, vol. 1(2), pages 456-461, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ora:journl:v:1:y:2010:i:2:p:456-461
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    File URL: http://anale.steconomiceuoradea.ro/volume/2010/n2/070.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Andrew Ang & Geert Bekaert, 2002. "International Asset Allocation With Regime Shifts," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 15(4), pages 1137-1187.
    2. Kaminsky, Graciela L & Reinhart, Carmen M, 1998. "Financial Crises in Asia and Latin America: Then and Now," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 88(2), pages 444-448, May.
    3. Mardi Dungey & Renee Fry & Brenda Gonzalez-Hermosillo & Vance Martin, 2005. "Empirical modelling of contagion: a review of methodologies," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 5(1), pages 9-24.
    4. Nikitin, Maxim & Smith, R. Todd, 2008. "Information acquisition, coordination, and fundamentals in a financial crisis," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(6), pages 907-914, June.
    5. Vance L. Martin & Mardi Dungey, 2007. "Unravelling financial market linkages during crises," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(1), pages 89-119.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial crisis; contagion; Greek debt crisis (GDC); Economic and Monetary Union (EMU); Stability and Growth Pact (SGP);

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages
    • C59 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Other

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