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The case for macroprudential policy as a stabilizing tool for the euro area

Author

Listed:
  • Michaela Posch

    (Oesterreichische Nationalbank)

  • Stefan W. Schmitz

    (Oesterreichische Nationalbank)

  • Katharina Steiner

    (Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Foreign Research Division)

  • Eva Ubl

    (Oesterreichische Nationalbank, Financial Markets Analysis and Surveillance Division)

Abstract

Current account deficits are not destabilizing per se and cross-border capital flows can contribute to the economic convergence of the euro area and private risk-sharing if monitored more adequately than provided for by the current macroeconomic governance framework of the European Union. Macroprudential policy could fill this gap. This would allow countries with lower capital stocks to continue importing capital and to strengthen private risk-sharing in the euro area, while avoiding negative side effects, such as excessive credit growth and the risk of a balance of payment crisis. We make a case for broadening the EU’s macroeconomic imbalances procedure (MIP) to include the assessment of the macroprudential stance, particularly with respect to the possible negative side effects of capital inflows. Our argument is inspired by the effective application of macroprudential policy in Austria in the post-World War II era, when Austria featured a structural balance of payment deficit and liberalized both its capital account and its banking sector without a balance of payment crisis.

Suggested Citation

  • Michaela Posch & Stefan W. Schmitz & Katharina Steiner & Eva Ubl, 2019. "The case for macroprudential policy as a stabilizing tool for the euro area," Monetary Policy & the Economy, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 19/Q1-Q2, pages 124-138.
  • Handle: RePEc:onb:oenbmp:y:2019:i:19/q1-q2:b:8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Macroprudential supervision; capital flows; monetary union;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • E61 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - Policy Objectives; Policy Designs and Consistency; Policy Coordination
    • F32 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Current Account Adjustment; Short-term Capital Movements
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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