IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/mnb/finrev/v19y2020i4p5-26.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Interest Savings of the Hungarian Budget between 2013 and 2019 in Comparison with Other EU Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Gergely Kicsák

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

  • Dávid Benkõ

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

  • Noémi Végh

    (Magyar Nemzeti Bank)

Abstract

This paper compares the decline in government interest expenditure in Hungary and other Member States of the European Union. Government interest expenditure decreased across the whole EU between 2013 and 2019, and the second largest drop was recorded in Hungary, with government interest payments diminishing from 4.5 per cent of GDP to 2.3 per cent. To understand the cause of this development, favourable even by EU standards, the change in interest expenditure was divided into three main factors: the yield and interest effect, the impact of the change in the debt ratio and the influence of foreign currency debt. The analysis showed that the decrease in Hungarian expenditures can be attributed mostly – by about 80 per cent – to declining domestic yields, while the fall in the debt ratio had a somewhat lesser effect – around 18 per cent. Had foreign currency debt levels been lower, Hungary’s interest expenditure would have shrunk even more.

Suggested Citation

  • Gergely Kicsák & Dávid Benkõ & Noémi Végh, 2020. "Interest Savings of the Hungarian Budget between 2013 and 2019 in Comparison with Other EU Countries," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 19(4), pages 5-26.
    • Handle: RePEc:mnb:finrev:v:19:y:2020:i:4:p:5-26
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://en-hitelintezetiszemle.mnb.hu/letoltes/fer-19-4-st1-kicsak-benko-vegh.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. David Turner & Francesca Spinelli, 2012. "Interest-rate-growth differentials and government debt dynamics," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, vol. 2012(1), pages 103-122.
    2. Gergely Baksay & Ferenc Karvalits & Zsolt Kuti, 2012. "The impact of public debt on foreign exchange reserves and central bank profitability: the case of Hungary," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Fiscal policy, public debt and monetary policy in emerging market economies, volume 67, pages 179-191, Bank for International Settlements.
    3. Ms. Anastasia Guscina, 2008. "Impact of Macroeconomic, Political, and Institutional Factors on the Structure of Government Debt in Emerging Market Countries," IMF Working Papers 2008/205, International Monetary Fund.
    4. György Matolcsy & Dániel Palotai, 2018. "The Hungarian Model: Hungarian Crisis Management in View of the Mediterranean Way," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 17(2), pages 5-42.
    5. Ugo Panizza, 2008. "Domestic And External Public Debt In Developing Countries," UNCTAD Discussion Papers 188, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    6. Murray Petrie & Mr. Richard Hemming, 2000. "A Framework for Assessing Fiscal Vulnerability," IMF Working Papers 2000/052, International Monetary Fund.
    7. Mr. Udaibir S Das & Jay Surti & Mr. Faisal Ahmed & Mr. Michael G. Papaioannou & Mr. Guilherme Pedras, 2010. "Managing Public Debt and Its Financial Stability Implications," IMF Working Papers 2010/280, International Monetary Fund.
    8. György Matolcsy & Dániel Palotai, 2019. "Hungary Is on the Path to Convergence," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 18(3), pages 5-28.
    9. Tóth G., Csaba, 2014. "The Forecasting Capacity of Indicators Measuring Budget Sustainability," Public Finance Quarterly, Corvinus University of Budapest, vol. 59(4), pages 511-528.
    10. Gergely Baksay & Tamás Berki & Iván Csaba & Emese Hudák & Tamás Kiss & Gergely Lakos & Zsolt Lovas & Gábor P. Kiss, 2013. "Developments in public debt in Hungary between 1998 and 2012: trends, reasons and effects," MNB Bulletin (discontinued), Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 8(Special), pages 14-22, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gergely Kicsák, 2017. "Developments in Government Interest Expenditure for Hungary, 2000–2015," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 16(1), pages 46-73.
    2. Dennis Essers & Hans J. Blommestein & Danny Cassimon & Perla Ibarlucea Flores, 2016. "Local Currency Bond Market Development in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Stock-Taking Exercise and Analysis of Key Drivers," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 1167-1194, May.
    3. Abel Cadenillas & Ricardo Huamán-Aguilar, 2016. "Explicit formula for the optimal government debt ceiling," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 247(2), pages 415-449, December.
    4. Javier J. Pérez & Rocío Prieto, 2014. "The structure of sub-natural public debt: Liquidity vs credit risk," Working Papers 1403, Banco de España.
    5. Danny Cassimon & Dennis Essers & Karel Verbeke, 2015. "What to do after the clean slate? Post-relief public debt sustainability and management," BeFinD Working Papers 0103, University of Namur, Department of Economics.
    6. Jackson Ongong’a Otieno & Charles M. Rambo & Paul A. Odundo, 2014. "Contribution Of Local Authority Transfer Fund To Debt Reduction In Kenyan Local Authorities," Global Journal of Business Research, The Institute for Business and Finance Research, vol. 8(3), pages 57-68.
    7. Brutti, Filippo, 2008. "Legal enforcement, public supply of liquidity and sovereign risk," MPRA Paper 13949, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    8. Chamon, Marcos & Schumacher, Julian & Trebesch, Christoph, 2018. "Foreign-Law Bonds: Can They Reduce Sovereign Borrowing Costs?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 114, pages 164-179.
    9. Christopher L. Gilbert, 2010. "Speculative Influences On Commodity Futures Prices 2006-2008," UNCTAD Discussion Papers 197, United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.
    10. Mohamed Bouabidi, 2023. "The surge in Tunisia foreign debt: causes and possible ways out," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(3), pages 1-23, March.
    11. Sebastian M. Saiegh, 2009. "Coalition Governments And Sovereign Debt Crises," Economics and Politics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(2), pages 232-254, July.
    12. Moumita Basu & Rilina Basu & Ranjanendra Narayan Nag, 2022. "A Dependent Economy Model of Employment, Real Exchange Rate and Debt Dynamics: Towards an Understanding of Pandemic Crisis," Foreign Trade Review, , vol. 57(1), pages 85-113, February.
    13. Danny Cassimon & Dennis Essers & Karel Verbeke, 2016. "The changing face of Rwanda's public debt," BeFinD Working Papers 0114, University of Namur, Department of Economics.
    14. Sun, Lixin, 2015. "China’s Debt: Structure, Determinants and Sustainability," MPRA Paper 68548, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Oct 2015.
    15. George Apostolakis & Athanasios P. Papadopoulos, 2019. "Financial Stability, Monetary Stability and Growth: a PVAR Analysis," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 30(1), pages 157-178, February.
    16. Andrea F Presbitero, 2012. "Total Public Debt and Growth in Developing Countries," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 24(4), pages 606-626, September.
    17. Bicchetti, David & Maystre, Nicolas Maystre, 2013. "The synchronized and long-lasting structural change on commodity markets: Evidence from high frequency data," Algorithmic Finance, IOS Press, vol. 2(3-4), pages 233-239.
    18. Natia KUTIVADZE, 2011. "Public debt and financial development," Departmental Working Papers 2011-13, Department of Economics, Management and Quantitative Methods at Università degli Studi di Milano.
    19. Martin Schmitz, 2014. "Financial remoteness and the net external position," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 150(1), pages 191-219, February.
    20. Johan Winbladh, 2017. "Systemic Banking Crisis and Macroeconomic Leading Indicators," Proceedings of International Academic Conferences 4707470, International Institute of Social and Economic Sciences.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    general government; interest expenditure; monetary policy;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E42 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Monetary Sytsems; Standards; Regimes; Government and the Monetary System
    • H50 - Public Economics - - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies - - - General
    • H62 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Deficit; Surplus
    • H63 - Public Economics - - National Budget, Deficit, and Debt - - - Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:mnb:finrev:v:19:y:2020:i:4:p:5-26. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Morvay Endre (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/mnbgvhu.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.