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The Efficiency of Foreign Exchange Markets in Pakistan: An Empirical Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Rizwana Bashir

    (Assistant Professor, Bahria University, Karachi, Pakistan.)

  • Rabia Shakir

    (Lecturer, University of Karachi, Pakistan.)

  • Badar Ashfaq

    (MS scholar, Institute of Business and Technology, Karachi, Pakistan.)

  • Atif Hassan

    (Assistant professor, DHA Suffa University, Karachi, Pakistan.)

Abstract

This study investigates the empirical relationship between spot and forward exchange rate efficiency with reference to Pakistan and the efficiency of its foreign exchange market. We use monthly data from the State Bank of Pakistan and KIBOR rates for the period July 2006 to December 2013. Our results indicate that the forward exchange rate does not fully reflect all the information available. Market players may gain the benefits of volatility speculation due to market inefficiency. Pakistan’s foreign exchange market is still small compared to those of other emerging economies, implying that substantial policy work is required.

Suggested Citation

  • Rizwana Bashir & Rabia Shakir & Badar Ashfaq & Atif Hassan, 2014. "The Efficiency of Foreign Exchange Markets in Pakistan: An Empirical Analysis," Lahore Journal of Economics, Department of Economics, The Lahore School of Economics, vol. 19(1), pages 133-149, Jan-June.
    • Handle: RePEc:lje:journl:v:19:y:2014:i:1:p:133-149
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
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    Cited by:

    1. Ghouse, Ghulam & Khan, Saud Ahmed & Arshad, Muhammad, 2015. "Time Varying Volatility Modeling of Pakistani and leading foreign stock markets," MPRA Paper 70080, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    2. Gofaone Matebejana & Gaotlhobogwe Motlaleng & James Juana, 2017. "Foreign Exchange Market Efficiency In Botswana," Review of Economic and Business Studies, Alexandru Ioan Cuza University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, issue 19, pages 55-74, June.
    3. Radim Gottwald, 2015. "The Forecasting of Spot Exchange Rates Based on the Forward Exchange Rates," MENDELU Working Papers in Business and Economics 2015-52, Mendel University in Brno, Faculty of Business and Economics.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Foreign exchange markets; forward exchange rate efficiency; efficient market hypothesis; emerging economy; real effective exchange rate; Pakistan. markets; forecasting; exchange rate volatility; Pakistan.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • G10 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - General (includes Measurement and Data)

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