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Short-Run And Long-Run Effects Of Currency Depreciation On The Bilateral Trade Balance Between Pakistan And Her Major Trading Partners

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Listed:
  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee

    () (The Center for Research on International Economics and Department of Economics, The University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee)

  • Jehanzeb Cheema

    (The Center for Research on International Economics and Department of Economics, The University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee)

Abstract

Previous studies that investigated the short-run (J-curve) and the long-run effects of currency depreciation on the trade balance of Pakistan used aggregate trade data between Pakistan and the rest of the world and provided no evidence of any significant impact. We wonder whether lack of the relation is due to aggregation bias. In this paper, therefore, we go one step further by employing disaggregated data at bilateral level between Pakistan and her 13 major trading partners to determine if we can discover partners whose trade balances react to changes in the real bilateral exchange rate. The results from bounds testing approach are still inconclusive and show that only in half of the cases the real bilateral exchange rate plays a role.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohsen Bahmani-Oskooee & Jehanzeb Cheema, 2009. "Short-Run And Long-Run Effects Of Currency Depreciation On The Bilateral Trade Balance Between Pakistan And Her Major Trading Partners," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 34(1), pages 19-41, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:jed:journl:v:34:y:2009:i:1:p:19-41
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. . Atiq-ur-Rehman, 2017. "On Using Exchange Rate for Promoting Exports," Working Papers id:12176, eSocialSciences.
    4. Kyophilavong, Phouphet & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Uddin, Gazi Salah, 2013. "Does J-curve phenomenon exist in case of Laos? An ARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 833-839.
    5. repec:ris:badest:0532 is not listed on IDEAS
    6. Huiran Pan, 2013. "Asset Revaluation And Trade Balance Under Liability Dollarization: The Case Of South Korea," Journal of Economic Development, Chung-Ang Unviersity, Department of Economics, vol. 38(3), pages 1-32, September.
    7. Bahmani-Oskooee Mohsen & Iqbal Javed & Muzammil Muhammad, 2017. "Pakistan-EU Commodity Trade: Is there Evidence of J-Curve Effect?," Global Economy Journal, De Gruyter, vol. 17(2), pages 1-8, June.
    8. Zeeshan Khan & Asghar Ali & Shahid Ali, 2016. "Impact of Devaluation on Balance of Trade: A Case Study of Pakistan Economy," Asian Journal of Economic Modelling, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 4(2), pages 90-94, June.
    9. Shahbaz, Muhammad & Jalil, Abdul & Islam, Faridul, 2010. "Real Exchange Rate Changes and Trade Balance in Pakistan: A Revisit," MPRA Paper 27631, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Murad, S. M. Woahid, 2012. "Bilateral Export and Import Demand Functions of Bangladesh: A Cointegration Approach," MPRA Paper 36919, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    11. Perekunah Eregha & Arcade Ndoricimpa & Solomon Olakojo & Mamello Nchake & Owen Nyang'oro & Edith Togba, 2016. "Nigeria: Should the Government Float or Devalue the Naira?," African Development Review, African Development Bank, vol. 28(3), pages 247-263, September.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Bilateral J-Curve; Bounds Testing; Cointegration; Pakistan;

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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