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Simulating Migration In The Pensim2 Dynamic Microsimulation Model

Author

Listed:
  • Cathal ODonoghue

    (Teagasc Rural Economy Research Centre, Athenry, Co. Galway, Ireland)

  • Howard Redway

    (Department for Work and Pensions (DWP), Caxton House, Tothill St, London, SW1A 9NA, UK)

  • John Lennon

    (Teagasc Rural Economy Research Centre Athenry, Co. Galway, Ireland and University of Leeds, UK)

Abstract

Modelling migration is fundamentally important to maintaining the appropriate population structure in a dynamic microsimulation model. It is particularly important as it is faster changing than other demographic processes such as fertility and mortality and so can impact upon the structure of the population quickly. In this paper we review methods that have been used by other models and describe the choices and methods used in the Pensim2 dynamic microsimulation model. In particular we model immigration flows, emigration flows and the overseas population. We divide our method into modelling how many migrate using external macro data and who emigrates, based upon micro processes.

Suggested Citation

  • Cathal ODonoghue & Howard Redway & John Lennon, 2010. "Simulating Migration In The Pensim2 Dynamic Microsimulation Model," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 3(2), pages 65-79.
    • Handle: RePEc:ijm:journl:v:3:y:2010:i:2:p:65-79
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    File URL: http://ima.natsem.canberra.edu.au/IJM/V3_2/Volume%203%20Issue%202/5_IJM_51%20Proof.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Mitton,Lavinia & Sutherland,Holly & Weeks,Melvyn (ed.), 2000. "Microsimulation Modelling for Policy Analysis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521790062, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Justin van de Ven, 2016. "LINDA: A dynamic microsimulation model for analysing policy effects on the evolving population cross-section," National Institute of Economic and Social Research (NIESR) Discussion Papers 459, National Institute of Economic and Social Research.
    2. Johannes Geyer & Salmai Qari & Hermann Buslei & Peter Haan, 2021. "DySiMo Dokumentation: Version 1.0," Data Documentation 101, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    3. Angus Armstrong & Justin Van de Ven, 2016. "The Impact of Possible Migration Scenarios after ‘Brexit’ on the State Pension System," Economies, MDPI, vol. 4(4), pages 1-13, October.
    4. van de Ven, Justin, 2017. "SIDD: An adaptable framework for analysing the distributional implications of policy alternatives where savings and employment decisions matter," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 63(C), pages 161-174.
    5. Agnieszka M. Werpachowska & Roman Werpachowski, 2017. "Microsimulations of Demographic Changes in England and Wales Under Different EU Referendum Scenarios," International Journal of Microsimulation, International Microsimulation Association, vol. 10(2), pages 103-117.

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