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Real exchange rate fluctuations and monetary shocks: a revisit

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  • Shiu-Sheng Chen

    (Department of Economics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, USA)

Abstract

In this paper, I first estimate a structural VAR model by following Clarida and Gali (1994) and obtain results indicating that the variance of real exchange rates can be attributed more to monetary shocks when the sample span is extended. In order to further investigate this aspect, I then employ a VAR model with long-run US-UK annual data from 1889 to 1995. According to the variance decompositions, I find that monetary shocks can explain nearly 50% of real exchange rate variance in the long-run sample periods. All the evidence suggests that monetary shocks are indeed more important in a larger sample set. Copyright © 2003 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Suggested Citation

  • Shiu-Sheng Chen, 2004. "Real exchange rate fluctuations and monetary shocks: a revisit," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 9(1), pages 25-32.
    • Handle: RePEc:ijf:ijfiec:v:9:y:2004:i:1:p:25-32
    DOI: 10.1002/ijfe.218
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    3. Takeshi Inoue & Shigeyuki Hamori, 2009. "What Explains Real and Nominal Exchange Rate Fluctuations?: Evidence from SVAR Analysis for India," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 29(4), pages 2803-2815.
    4. Rabah Arezki & Kirk Hamilton & Kazim Kazimov, 2011. "Resource Windfalls, Macroeconmic Stability and Growth: The Role of Political Institutions," CESifo Working Paper Series 3678, CESifo.
    5. Khraief, Naceur & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Mahalik, Mantu Kumar & Bhattacharya, Mita, 2021. "Movements of oil prices and exchange rates in China and India: New evidence from wavelet-based, non-linear, autoregressive distributed lag estimations," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 563(C).
    6. Simeon Coleman & Juan Carlos Cuestas & Estefanía Mourelle, 2011. "Investigating the oil price-exchange rate nexus: Evidence from Africa," Working Papers 2011015, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, revised May 2011.
    7. Candian, Giacomo, 2019. "Information frictions and real exchange rate dynamics," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 189-205.
    8. Huang, Ying & Guo, Feng, 2007. "The role of oil price shocks on China's real exchange rate," China Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 403-416.
    9. Shamaila Butt & Suresh Ramakrishnan & Nanthakumar Loganathan & Muhammad Ali Chohan, 2020. "Evaluating the exchange rate and commodity price nexus in Malaysia: evidence from the threshold cointegration approach," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-19, December.
    10. S Coleman & J C Cuestas & E Mourelle, 2016. "Investigating the oil price-exchange rate nexus: evidence from Africa 1970-2004," Economic Issues Journal Articles, Economic Issues, vol. 21(2), pages 53-79, September.
    11. Hideki Nishigaki, 2007. "The Impact of a Net Increase in Japanese Investment in Foreign Assets on the Yen Rate," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 6(40), pages 1-9.
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    13. Rabah Arezki & Klaus Deininger & Harris Selod, 2012. "What drives the global rush?," NCID Working Papers 02/2012, Navarra Center for International Development, University of Navarra.

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