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The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on the Nigerian Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation

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  • J.O. Adeniran
  • S.A. Yusuf
  • Olatoke A. Adeyemi

Abstract

This research study examined the impact of exchange rate on economic growth from 1986 to 2013. The main type of data used in this study is secondary; sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin of various issues. From 1986 being the year the monetary authority shifted from fixed exchange rate regime to flexible exchange rate regime to 2013. The correlation and regression analysis of the ordinary least square (OLS) were used to analyze the data. The result revealed that exchange rate has positive impact but not significant with (ß =0.014, t = 1.783, Pns) this is affirms previous studies that developing countries are relatively better off in the choice of flexible exchange rate regimes. The result also indicated that interest rate and rate of inflation have negative impact on economic growth but not significant with (ß = - 0.002, t = - 0.015, Pns) and (ß = -0.023, t = - 0.716, Pns) respectively. Therefore, the paper recommended that government should encourage the export promotion strategies in order to maintain a surplus balance of trade and also conducive environment, adequate security, effective fiscal and monetary, as well as infrastructural facilities should be provided so that foreign investors will be attracted to invest in Nigeria.

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  • J.O. Adeniran & S.A. Yusuf & Olatoke A. Adeyemi, 2014. "The Impact of Exchange Rate Fluctuation on the Nigerian Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 4(8), pages 224-233, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:hur:ijarbs:v:4:y:2014:i:8:p:224-233
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Stephen ARO-GORDON, 2017. "Econometric Analysis of Exchange Rate and Export Performance in a Developing Economy," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 7(4), pages 334-348, April.
    3. Kanu Success Ikechi & Nwadiubu Anthony, 2020. "Exchange Rate Volatility and International Trade in Nigeria," International Journal of Management Science and Business Administration, Inovatus Services Ltd., vol. 6(5), pages 56-72, July.
    4. Sakiru Oladele AKINBODE & Oladapo FAPETU & Jayeola OLABISI & Olutunji Timothy OJO, 2019. "Impact Of Exchange Rate On Economic Growth In Nigeria (1981-2016): An Ardl Approach," Contemporary Economy Journal, Constantin Brancoveanu University, vol. 4(2), pages 158-171.
    5. Lyndon M. Etale & Peter E. Ayunku, 2016. "The Relationship between Interest Rate and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Error Correction Model (ECM) Approach," International Journal of Economics and Financial Research, Academic Research Publishing Group, vol. 2(6), pages 127-131, 06-2016.
    6. K. Lawler; S. Sadiq, 2018. "Exchange Rate Volatility: An Empirical Study For State Of Kuwait," Вестник Киевского национального университета имени Тараса Шевченко. Экономика., Socionet;Киевский национальный университет имени Тараса Шевченко, vol. 3(198), pages 66-69.
    7. Ugochukwu J. Nwoye & Justina N. Obiorah & Chukwunonso Ekesiobi, 2015. "Effect of Nigeria Macroeconomic Environment on the Performance of the National Economy: Implications," International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Business and Social Sciences, vol. 5(7), pages 42-51, July.
    8. Hussaini Umaru & Aguda Niyi A. & Nordiana Osagie Davies, 2018. "The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth of West African English-Speaking Countries," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 131-143, October.
    9. Kenny S, Victoria, 2019. "Exchange Rate Management and Economic Growth: An FMOLS Approach," MPRA Paper 93125, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Ekundayo P. Mesagan & Olorunfemi Y. Alimi & Ismaila A. Yusuf, 2018. "Macroeconomic Implications of Exchange Rate Depreciation: The Nigerian Experience," Managing Global Transitions, University of Primorska, Faculty of Management Koper, vol. 16(3 (Fall)), pages 235-258.
    11. Zarei, Samira, 2019. "How do Real Exchange Rate Movements Affect the Economic Growth in Iran?," MPRA Paper 99102, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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