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La influencia de la deducción por descendientes en el tamaño de la familia. Un ejercicio con microdatos para España

Author

Listed:
  • Jaime Vallés Giménez

    (Facultad de Económicas de Zaragoza)

  • Anabel Zárate Marco

    (Escuela de Estudios Empresariales de Zaragoza)

Abstract

En este trabajo analizamos la relación que puede existir entre la deducción por descendientes contemplada en el IRPF y la elección del tamaño familiar de las mujeres en edad fértil, con objeto de extraer alguna conclusión sobre la efectividad de dicha deducción para elevar la natalidad. Para ello, utilizando el PHOGUE, hemos estimado un modelo ordenado jerarquizado y un modelo censurado. Los resultados muestran que la deducción por descendientes, junto con otras variables, resulta relevante en la explicación del tamaño familiar, si bien, el efecto de la deducción sobre la endógena es modesto. A pesar de ello, la facilidad y rapidez con que se actúa sobre las variables fiscales, frente a otros aspectos como los culturales, puede apoyar la actuación del Sector Público a través de este instrumento para estimular la natalidad, especialmente si se diseña una estrategia que concentre los potenciales recursos adicionales en la deducción por el segundo descendiente.

Suggested Citation

  • Jaime Vallés Giménez & Anabel Zárate Marco, 2005. "La influencia de la deducción por descendientes en el tamaño de la familia. Un ejercicio con microdatos para España," Hacienda Pública Española / Review of Public Economics, IEF, vol. 175(4), pages 61-101, december.
    • Handle: RePEc:hpe:journl:y:2005:v:175:i:4:p:61-101
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    deducción marginal relativa por descendientes; tamaño familiar; probabilidad.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • H24 - Public Economics - - Taxation, Subsidies, and Revenue - - - Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies
    • H31 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents - - - Household

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