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Immigration, fertility and human capital: A model of economic decline of the West

Author

Listed:
  • Leonid V. Azarnert

    (Bar-Ilan University)

Abstract

I show how the influences of unskilled immigration, differential fertility between immigrants and the local indigenous population, and incentives for investment in human capital combine to predict the decline of the West. In particular, indigenous low-skilled workers lose from unskilled immigration even if the indigenous low-skilled workers do not finance redistribution, do not compete with immigrants in the labor market, and do not compete with immigrants for publicly financed income transfers. For the economy at large, high-fertility unskilled immigrants and a low-fertility indigenous population result in economic decline through reduced human capital accumulation and reduced growth of per-capita output.

Suggested Citation

  • Leonid V. Azarnert, 2010. "Immigration, fertility and human capital: A model of economic decline of the West," Working Papers 2010-04, Bar-Ilan University, Department of Economics.
    • Handle: RePEc:biu:wpaper:2010-04
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    Cited by:

    1. Zimmermann, Ekkart, 2011. "Globalization and terrorism," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(S1), pages 152-161.
    2. Azarnert, Leonid V., 2018. "Refugee resettlement, redistribution and growth," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 89-98.
    3. Ilan Riss, 2016. "Leadership in migration systems: the case of israel," Interdisciplinary Description of Complex Systems - scientific journal, Croatian Interdisciplinary Society Provider Homepage: http://indecs.eu, vol. 14(2), pages 194-211.
    4. Changchang Zhou & Meixu Zhan & Xun An & Xu Huang, 2022. "Social Inclusion Concerning Migrants in Guangzhou City and the Spatial Differentiation," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-16, November.
    5. Gaston, Noel & Rajaguru, Gulasekaran, 2013. "International migration and the welfare state revisited," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 29(C), pages 90-101.
    6. Magris, Francesco & Russo, Giuseppe, 2016. "Fiscal Revenues and Commitment in Immigration Amnesties," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 75-90.
    7. Tao Tang & Brayan Tillaguango & Rafael Alvarado & Ximena Songor-Jaramillo & Priscila Méndez & Stefania Pinzón, 2022. "Heterogeneity in the Causal Link between FDI, Globalization and Human Capital: New Empirical Evidence Using Threshold Regressions," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-27, July.
    8. Samaneh Sadat Nickayin & Francesco Chelli & Rosario Turco & Bogdana Nosova & Chara Vavoura & Luca Salvati, 2022. "Economic Downturns, Urban Growth and Suburban Fertility in a Mediterranean Context," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-26, October.
    9. Azarnert, Leonid V., 2018. "Trade, Luxury Goods, And A Growth-Enhancing Tariff," Macroeconomic Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 22(6), pages 1462-1474, September.
    10. Chan, Jeff, 2024. "Changing the pace of the melting pot: The effects of immigration restrictions on immigrant assimilation," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 52(4), pages 733-754.
    11. Aleksynska, Mariya, 2011. "Civic participation of immigrants in Europe: Assimilation, origin, and destination country effects," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 566-585, September.
    12. Naiditch, Claire & Vranceanu, Radu, 2010. "Equilibrium migration with invested remittances: The EECA evidence," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 26(4), pages 454-474, December.
    13. Janetta Nestorová Dická, 2021. "Demographic Changes in Slovak Roma Communities in the New Millennium," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-26, March.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D3 - Microeconomics - - Distribution
    • F22 - International Economics - - International Factor Movements and International Business - - - International Migration
    • J1 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demographic Economics
    • O4 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity

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