Air Pollution, Credit Ratings, and Corporate Credit Costs: Evidence from China

From the perspective of credit ratings, this paper studies the impact of air pollution on corporate credit costs and the impact mechanism. Based on 2007–2022 data on A-share listed companies in the Chinese capital market, this paper uses a two-way fixed effects model to examine the impact of air pollution on corporate credit costs and the impact mechanism. The results show that air pollution increases the credit costs for enterprises because air pollution affects the sentiment of rating analysts, leading them to give more pessimistic credit ratings to enterprises located in areas with severe air pollution. The moderating effect analysis reveals that the effect of air pollution on the increase in corporate credit costs is more pronounced for high-polluting industries, manufacturing industries, and regions with weaker bank competition. Further analysis reveals that in the face of rising credit costs caused by air pollution, enterprises tend to adopt a combination strategy of increasing commercial credit financing and reducing the commercial credit supply to cope. Although this response behavior alleviates corporations’ own financial pressure, it may have a negative effect on supply chain stability. This paper provides new evidence that reveals that air pollution is an implicit cost in the capital market, enriching research in the fields of environmental governance and capital markets.