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The Turn of the Month Effect on CEE Stock Markets

Author

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  • Peter Arendas

    (Department of Banking and International Finance, Faculty of National Economy, University of Economics in Bratislava, 852 35 Bratislava, Slovakia)

  • Jana Kotlebova

    (Department of Banking and International Finance, Faculty of National Economy, University of Economics in Bratislava, 852 35 Bratislava, Slovakia)

Abstract

The Turn of the month effect is one of the better-known calendar anomalies. If a stock market is affected by the Turn of the month effect, it records significantly higher returns during a relatively short time period around the end of the old month and the beginning of the new one, than during the remainder of the month. This paper investigates the presence of the Turn of the month effect in the stock markets of 11 Central and Eastern European (CEE) countries. We focused not only on the anomaly in returns, but also on the anomaly in price volatility. The results show that, during a 20-year period (1999–2018), a statistically significant Turn of the month effect was present in the stock markets of seven out of 11 investigated countries. However, the anomaly affected only the stock market returns, not price volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter Arendas & Jana Kotlebova, 2019. "The Turn of the Month Effect on CEE Stock Markets," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 7(4), pages 1-19, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijfss:v:7:y:2019:i:4:p:57-:d:272661
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Rajesh Elangovan & Francis Gnanasekar Irudayasamy & Satyanarayana Parayitam, 2022. "Month-of-the-Year Effect: Empirical Evidence from Indian Stock Market," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 29(3), pages 449-476, September.
    2. Chhabra, Damini & Gupta, Mohit, 2022. "Calendar anomalies in commodity markets for natural resources: Evidence from India," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    3. Muhammad Sarmad Irtiza & Shahbaz Khan & Nida Baig & Syed Muhammad Ali Tirmizi & Ilyas Ahmad, 2021. "The turn-of-the-month effect in Pakistani stock market," Future Business Journal, Springer, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, December.
    4. Peter Árendáš & Jana Kotlebová, 2023. "Agricultural commodity markets and the Turn of the month effect," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 69(3), pages 101-108.
    5. Tirthank Shah & Narayan Baser, 2022. "Global mutual fund market: the turn of the month effect and investment strategy," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(6), pages 466-476, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    turn of the month effect; calendar anomaly; stock market; CEE; ; G01; G14; G15;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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