IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v15y2022i22p8388-d968256.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Energy and Environmental Impact of the Promotion of Battery Electric Vehicles in the Context of Banning Gasoline Vehicle Sales

Author

Listed:
  • Qi Wu

    (School of Finance, Hebei University of Economics and Business, Shijiazhuang 050061, China)

  • Shouheng Sun

    (School of Economics and Management, University of Science and Technology Beijing, Beijing 100083, China)

Abstract

This study quantitively estimates the energy and environmental impacts of China’s promotion of battery electric vehicles (BEVs) in the context of banning the sale of gasoline vehicles (GVs). Combining the population ecological growth model and the life cycle assessment method, the potential of BEVs promotion in reducing fossil energy (FE) consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions under different timings of banning GV sales was dynamically simulated and analyzed. The results show that the current life cycle FE consumption and GHG emissions of BEVs are approximately 40.1% and 26.6% lower than those of GVs, respectively. Based on the development of automobile technology and the national energy plan, replacing GVs with BEVs can reduce GHG emissions and FE consumption by up to 43.61–55.81% and 46.33–55.45%, respectively. Compared with the scenario without BEV promotion, if sales of GVs in China are banned between 2040 and 2060, the point at which the carbon peak of the automobile market will be reached will be advanced by approximately two years, and the corresponding carbon peak value will be reduced by approximately 13.58–28.79 million tons of CO 2 -eq (MtCO 2 e). In addition, the annual FE savings and GHG emission reductions will reach approximately 2.99–6.35 million TJ and 276.54–488.77 MtCO 2 e by 2050. This research work will not only help authorities, managers, and the public to better understand the environmental and energy impacts of promoting new energy vehicles, but also provide a forward-looking reference for formulating comprehensive, systematic, and reasonable industrial planning to better promote a green and sustainable transformation of the automotive sector and solve the relevant energy and environmental problems.

Suggested Citation

  • Qi Wu & Shouheng Sun, 2022. "Energy and Environmental Impact of the Promotion of Battery Electric Vehicles in the Context of Banning Gasoline Vehicle Sales," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-18, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:22:p:8388-:d:968256
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/22/8388/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/22/8388/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Salari, Nasir, 2022. "Electric vehicles adoption behaviour: Synthesising the technology readiness index with environmentalism values and instrumental attributes," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 60-81.
    2. Xiaoli Sun & Zhengguo Li & Xiaolin Wang & Chengjiang Li, 2019. "Technology Development of Electric Vehicles: A Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-29, December.
    3. Li, Ruixiong & Zhang, Haoran & Wang, Huanran & Tu, Qingshi & Wang, Xuejun, 2019. "Integrated hybrid life cycle assessment and contribution analysis for CO2 emission and energy consumption of a concentrated solar power plant in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 310-322.
    4. Hsieh, I-Yun Lisa & Pan, Menghsuan Sam & Green, William H., 2020. "Transition to electric vehicles in China: Implications for private motorization rate and battery market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    5. Pan, Xunzhang & Wang, Lining & Dai, Jiaquan & Zhang, Qi & Peng, Tianduo & Chen, Wenying, 2020. "Analysis of China’s oil and gas consumption under different scenarios toward 2050: An integrated modeling," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C).
    6. Debecker, Alain & Modis, Theodore, 2021. "Poorly known aspects of flattening the curve of COVID-19," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    7. Almeida Neves, Sónia & Cardoso Marques, António & Alberto Fuinhas, José, 2019. "Technological progress and other factors behind the adoption of electric vehicles: Empirical evidence for EU countries," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 28-39.
    8. Wang, Like & Wang, Yuan & Du, Huibin & Zuo, Jian & Yi Man Li, Rita & Zhou, Zhihua & Bi, Fenfen & Garvlehn, McSimon P., 2019. "A comparative life-cycle assessment of hydro-, nuclear and wind power: A China study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 37-45.
    9. Dong, Feng & Liu, Yajie, 2020. "Policy evolution and effect evaluation of new-energy vehicle industry in China," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    10. Lugovoy, Oleg & Gao, Shuo & Gao, Ji & Jiang, Kejun, 2021. "Feasibility study of China's electric power sector transition to zero emissions by 2050," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
    11. Qiu, Shuo & Lei, Tian & Wu, Jiangtao & Bi, Shengshan, 2021. "Energy demand and supply planning of China through 2060," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    12. Ioan-Sorin Sorlei & Nicu Bizon & Phatiphat Thounthong & Mihai Varlam & Elena Carcadea & Mihai Culcer & Mariana Iliescu & Mircea Raceanu, 2021. "Fuel Cell Electric Vehicles—A Brief Review of Current Topologies and Energy Management Strategies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-29, January.
    13. Wang, Yajie & Yu, Huan & Zhang, Hongda & Chen, Tianyu, 2021. "Non-linear analysis of effects of energy consumption on economic growth in China: Role of real exchange rate," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    14. Harris, Tyler M. & Devkota, Jay P. & Khanna, Vikas & Eranki, Pragnya L. & Landis, Amy E., 2018. "Logistic growth curve modeling of US energy production and consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 46-57.
    15. Wang, Hu & Li, Shouwei, 2021. "Asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and China's financial markets," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    16. Jianlei Lang & Shuiyuan Cheng & Ying Zhou & Beibei Zhao & Haiyan Wang & Shujing Zhang, 2013. "Energy and Environmental Implications of Hybrid and Electric Vehicles in China," Energies, MDPI, vol. 6(5), pages 1-23, May.
    17. Umberto Previti & Sebastian Brusca & Antonio Galvagno & Fabio Famoso, 2022. "Influence of Energy Management System Control Strategies on the Battery State of Health in Hybrid Electric Vehicles," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-20, September.
    18. Lin, Boqiang & Shi, Lei, 2022. "Do environmental quality and policy changes affect the evolution of consumers’ intentions to buy new energy vehicles," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 310(C).
    19. Khanna, Nina Zheng & Zhou, Nan & Fridley, David & Ke, Jing, 2016. "Quantifying the potential impacts of China's power-sector policies on coal input and CO2 emissions through 2050: A bottom-up perspective," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(C), pages 128-138.
    20. Yuying Wang & Xiaohong Jiao & Zitao Sun & Ping Li, 2017. "Energy Management Strategy in Consideration of Battery Health for PHEV via Stochastic Control and Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-21, November.
    21. Wang, Kai-Hua & Su, Chi-Wei & Umar, Muhammad, 2021. "Geopolitical risk and crude oil security: A Chinese perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    22. Ding, Ning & Liu, Jingru & Yang, Jianxin & Yang, Dong, 2017. "Comparative life cycle assessment of regional electricity supplies in China," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 47-59.
    23. Fang, Kai & Li, Chenglin & Tang, Yiqi & He, Jianjian & Song, Junnian, 2022. "China’s pathways to peak carbon emissions: New insights from various industrial sectors," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    24. Qiao, Qinyu & Zhao, Fuquan & Liu, Zongwei & He, Xin & Hao, Han, 2019. "Life cycle greenhouse gas emissions of Electric Vehicles in China: Combining the vehicle cycle and fuel cycle," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 222-233.
    25. Simsek, Yeliz & Lorca, Álvaro & Urmee, Tania & Bahri, Parisa A. & Escobar, Rodrigo, 2019. "Review and assessment of energy policy developments in Chile," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 87-101.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Yuchao Li & Lijie Zhang & Jiamin Liu & Xinpei Qiao, 2023. "Can the Dual-Credit Policy Help China’s New Energy Vehicle Industry Achieve Corner Overtaking?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(3), pages 1-22, January.
    2. Gábor Horváth & Attila Bai & Sándor Szegedi & István Lázár & Csongor Máthé & László Huzsvai & Máté Zakar & Zoltán Gabnai & Tamás Tóth, 2023. "A Comprehensive Review of the Distinctive Tendencies of the Diffusion of E-Mobility in Central Europe," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-29, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Anqi Chen & Shibing You, 2022. "The Fuel Cycle Carbon Reduction Effects of New Energy Vehicles: Empirical Evidence Based on Regional Data in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-17, November.
    2. Anqi Chen & Shibing You & Huan Liu & Jiaxuan Zhu & Xu Peng, 2023. "A Sustainable Road Transport Decarbonisation: The Scenario Analysis of New Energy Vehicle in China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(4), pages 1-18, February.
    3. Chen, Yufeng & Ni, Liangfu & Liu, Kelong, 2021. "Does China's new energy vehicle industry innovate efficiently? A three-stage dynamic network slacks-based measure approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    4. Zhang, Xiaoyue & Huang, Guohe & Liu, Lirong & Li, Kailong, 2022. "Development of a stochastic multistage lifecycle programming model for electric power system planning – A case study for the Province of Saskatchewan, Canada," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    5. Zou, Chenchen & Ma, Minda & Zhou, Nan & Feng, Wei & You, Kairui & Zhang, Shufan, 2023. "Toward carbon free by 2060: A decarbonization roadmap of operational residential buildings in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    6. Wen, W. & Yang, S. & Zhou, P. & Gao, S.Z., 2021. "Impacts of COVID-19 on the electric vehicle industry: Evidence from China," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    7. Liu, Junling & Yin, Mingjian & Xia-Hou, Qinrui & Wang, Ke & Zou, Ji, 2021. "Comparison of sectoral low-carbon transition pathways in China under the nationally determined contribution and 2 °C targets," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    8. Dongming Wu & Liukai Yu & Qianqian Zhang & Yangyang Jiao & Yuhe Wu, 2021. "Materialism, Ecological Consciousness and Purchasing Intention of Electric Vehicles: An Empirical Analysis among Chinese Consumers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-19, March.
    9. Luo, Shihua & Hu, Weihao & Liu, Wen & Zhang, Zhenyuan & Bai, Chunguang & Huang, Qi & Chen, Zhe, 2022. "Study on the decarbonization in China's power sector under the background of carbon neutrality by 2060," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 166(C).
    10. Meng Yang & Yisheng Liu & Jinzhao Tian & Feiyu Cheng & Pengbo Song, 2022. "Dynamic Evolution and Regional Disparity in Carbon Emission Intensity in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-15, March.
    11. Hsiao, Cody Yu-Ling & Yang, Rui & Zheng, Xin & Chiu, Yi-Bin, 2023. "Evaluations of policy contagion for new energy vehicle industry in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 173(C).
    12. Han, Jing & Guo, Ju-E & Cai, Xun & Lv, Cheng & Lev, Benjamin, 2022. "An analysis on strategy evolution of research & development in cooperative innovation network of new energy vehicle within policy transition period," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    13. Xue, Yixi & Zhang, Yi & Wang, Zhuoli & Tian, Shuo & Xiong, Qian & Li, Lydia Qianqian, 2023. "Effects of incentive policies on the purchase intention of electric vehicles in China: Psychosocial value and family ownership," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    14. Violeta Motuzienė & Kęstutis Čiuprinskas & Artur Rogoža & Vilūnė Lapinskienė, 2022. "A Review of the Life Cycle Analysis Results for Different Energy Conversion Technologies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-26, November.
    15. Xuemeng Zhao & Weilun Huang, 2024. "Global Geopolitical Changes and New/Renewable Energy Game," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-27, August.
    16. Wang, Xiao-Qing & Wu, Tong & Zhong, Huaming & Su, Chi-Wei, 2023. "Bubble behaviors in nickel price: What roles do geopolitical risk and speculation play?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
    17. Emanuele Fedele & Luigi Pio Di Noia & Renato Rizzo, 2023. "Simple Loss Model of Battery Cables for Fast Transient Thermal Simulation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(7), pages 1-13, March.
    18. Zhaoyang Kong & Xiucheng Dong & Zhongbing Zhou, 2015. "Seasonal Imbalances in Natural Gas Imports in Major Northeast Asian Countries: Variations, Reasons, Outlooks and Countermeasures," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-22, February.
    19. Ünal, Berat Berkan & Onaygil, Sermin & Acuner, Ebru & Cin, Rabia, 2022. "Application of energy efficiency obligation scheme for electricity distribution companies in Turkey," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    20. Gkoumas, Konstantinos & van Balen, Mitchell & Tsakalidis, Anastasios & Pekar, Ferenc, 2022. "Evaluating the development of transport technologies in European research and innovation projects between 2007 and 2020," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:22:p:8388-:d:968256. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.