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A Top-Down Spatially Resolved Electrical Load Model

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Robinius

    (Institute of Electrochemical Process Engineering (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Wilhelm-Johnen-Str., Jülich D-52428, Germany)

  • Felix ter Stein

    (Institute of Electrochemical Process Engineering (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Wilhelm-Johnen-Str., Jülich D-52428, Germany)

  • Adrien Schwane

    (Institute of Electrochemical Process Engineering (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Wilhelm-Johnen-Str., Jülich D-52428, Germany)

  • Detlef Stolten

    (Institute of Electrochemical Process Engineering (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Wilhelm-Johnen-Str., Jülich D-52428, Germany
    Chair of Fuel Cells, RWTH Aachen University, c/o Institute of Electrochemical Process Engineering (IEK-3), Forschungszentrum Jülich GmbH, Wilhelm-Johnen-Str., Jülich D-52428, Germany)

Abstract

The increasing deployment of variable renewable energy sources (VRES) is changing the source regime in the electrical energy sector. However, VRES feed-in from wind turbines and photovoltaic systems is dependent on the weather and only partially predictable. As a result, existing energy sector models must be re-evaluated and adjusted as necessary. In long-term forecast models, the expansion of VRES must be taken into account so that future local overloads can be identified and measures taken. This paper focuses on one input factor for electrical energy models: the electrical load. We compare two different types to describe this, namely vertical grid load and total load. For the total load, an approach for a spatially-resolved electrical load model is developed and applied at the municipal level in Germany. This model provides detailed information about the load at a quarterly-hour resolution across 11,268 German municipalities. In municipalities with concentrations of energy-intensive industry, high loads are expected, which our simulation reproduces with a good degree of accuracy. Our results also show that municipalities with energy-intensive industry have a higher simulated electric load than neighboring municipalities that do not host energy-intensive industries. The underlying data was extracted from publically accessible sources and therefore the methodology introduced is also applicable to other countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Robinius & Felix ter Stein & Adrien Schwane & Detlef Stolten, 2017. "A Top-Down Spatially Resolved Electrical Load Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-16, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:10:y:2017:i:3:p:361-:d:92993
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    Cited by:

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    3. Marlon Schlemminger & Raphael Niepelt & Rolf Brendel, 2021. "A Cross-Country Model for End-Use Specific Aggregated Household Load Profiles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-24, April.
    4. Chloi Syranidou & Jochen Linssen & Detlef Stolten & Martin Robinius, 2020. "Integration of Large-Scale Variable Renewable Energy Sources into the Future European Power System: On the Curtailment Challenge," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(20), pages 1-23, October.
    5. Kotzur, Leander & Markewitz, Peter & Robinius, Martin & Stolten, Detlef, 2018. "Time series aggregation for energy system design: Modeling seasonal storage," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 123-135.
    6. Peter Markewitz & Martin Robinius & Detlef Stolten, 2018. "The Future of Fossil Fired Power Plants in Germany—A Lifetime Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-20, June.
    7. Hofbauer, Leonhard & McDowall, Will & Pye, Steve, 2022. "Challenges and opportunities for energy system modelling to foster multi-level governance of energy transitions," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    8. Welder, Lara & Ryberg, D.Severin & Kotzur, Leander & Grube, Thomas & Robinius, Martin & Stolten, Detlef, 2018. "Spatio-temporal optimization of a future energy system for power-to-hydrogen applications in Germany," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 158(C), pages 1130-1149.
    9. Reuß, Markus & Grube, Thomas & Robinius, Martin & Stolten, Detlef, 2019. "A hydrogen supply chain with spatial resolution: Comparative analysis of infrastructure technologies in Germany," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C), pages 438-453.
    10. Alexander Otto & Martin Robinius & Thomas Grube & Sebastian Schiebahn & Aaron Praktiknjo & Detlef Stolten, 2017. "Power-to-Steel: Reducing CO 2 through the Integration of Renewable Energy and Hydrogen into the German Steel Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-21, April.

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