IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/fgv/epgrbe/v68y2014i4a3616.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Uma Nota Sobre Efeitos de Gastos Públicos Federais Sobre o Crescimento da Economia Brasileira

Author

Listed:
  • Triches, Divanildo
  • da Silva, Soraia Santos

Abstract

O artigo tem o objetivo de analisar os efeitos dos gastos governamentaissobre o produto da economia brasileira ao longo do período de1980 a 2005, identificando a contribuição de algumas categorias de gastospúblicos sobre o crescimento do produto no Brasil. Para isso, foraminvestigadas as séries dos componentes das despesas públicas federais,em particular, tanto por grupo como por função. Os procedimentos metodológicosusados basearam-se nos testes de Dickey-Fuller Aumentado(DFA) e Phillips e Perron (PP), teste de Causalidade de Granger e o métodode Cointegração de Engle e Granger e Johansen. Os resultados dostestes de raiz unitária mostraram que as séries estudadas de produtoe despesas públicas são I(1). A maioria dos pares de variáveis mostroucausalidade no sentido de Granger fluindo dos componentes dos gastospúblicos para o produto. As exceções ficaram por conta dos gastoscom defesa e segurança nacional e educação. Da mesma forma, essestipos de despesas não se mostraram estatisticamente significantes nasestimações. Entretanto, comunicação, saúde e saneamento, energia erecursos minerais e transporte foram as categorias de gastos públicosque mostraram relevância empírica na composição das despesas públicas.As evidências mostram que essas despesas podem ser consideradascomo gastos produtivos. Para uma dada quantidade de fatoresprivados, melhores estradas, portos, ferrovias, comunicação, saúde e saneamento implicam uma maior produtividade desses fatores e, consequentemente,elevando o produto final.

Suggested Citation

  • Triches, Divanildo & da Silva, Soraia Santos, 2014. "Uma Nota Sobre Efeitos de Gastos Públicos Federais Sobre o Crescimento da Economia Brasileira," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 68(4), October.
    • Handle: RePEc:fgv:epgrbe:v:68:y:2014:i:4:a:3616
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://periodicos.fgv.br/rbe/article/view/3616
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Johansen, Soren & Juselius, Katarina, 1990. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation and Inference on Cointegration--With Applications to the Demand for Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 52(2), pages 169-210, May.
    2. Robert J. Barro & Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 1990. "Economic Growth and Convergence across The United States," NBER Working Papers 3419, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Engle, Robert & Granger, Clive, 2015. "Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 39(3), pages 106-135.
    4. Granger, Clive W.J. & Huang, Bwo-Nung & Yang, Chin W., 1998. "A Bivariate Causality between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Evidence from Recent Asia Flu," University of California at San Diego, Economics Working Paper Series qt9bk607p6, Department of Economics, UC San Diego.
    5. Blanco, Fernando & Herrera, Santiago, 2006. "The quality of fiscal adjustment and the long-run growth impact of fiscal policy in Brazil," Policy Research Working Paper Series 4004, The World Bank.
    6. Fernando Blanco & Santiago Herrera, 2006. "The Quality Of Fiscal Adjustment And The Long-Run Growth Impact Of Fiscal Policy In Brazil," Anais do XXXIV Encontro Nacional de Economia [Proceedings of the 34th Brazilian Economics Meeting] 87, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics].
    7. Johansen, Soren, 1988. "Statistical analysis of cointegration vectors," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 12(2-3), pages 231-254.
    8. Granger, Clive W. J. & Huangb, Bwo-Nung & Yang, Chin-Wei, 2000. "A bivariate causality between stock prices and exchange rates: evidence from recent Asianflu," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 337-354.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:fgv:epgrbe:v:68:y:2015:i:4:a:3616 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. R. Smyth & M. Nandha, 2003. "Bivariate causality between exchange rates and stock prices in South Asia," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(11), pages 699-704.
    3. Stavarek, Daniel, 2004. "Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in the EU and the USA: Evidence of their Mutual Interactions," MPRA Paper 7297, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Salah A. Nusair & Jamal A. Al-Khasawneh, 2022. "On the relationship between Asian exchange rates and stock prices: a nonlinear analysis," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 55(1), pages 361-400, February.
    5. NEIFAR, MALIKA & HarzAllah, AMIRA, 2020. "Can Canadian Stock market provide complete hedge against Inflation ?," MPRA Paper 99093, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Naeem Muhammad & Abdul Rasheed, 2002. "Stock Prices and Exchange Rates: Are they Related? Evidence from South Asian Countries," The Pakistan Development Review, Pakistan Institute of Development Economics, vol. 41(4), pages 535-550.
    7. Sa-ngasoongsong, Akkarapol & Bukkapatnam, Satish T.S. & Kim, Jaebeom & Iyer, Parameshwaran S. & Suresh, R.P., 2012. "Multi-step sales forecasting in automotive industry based on structural relationship identification," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 875-887.
    8. Daniel Stavarek, 2004. "Linkages between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in the EU and the United States," Finance 0406006, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. Abbas Ghulam & Bhowmik Roni & Koju Laxmi & Wang Shouyang, 2017. "Cointegration and Causality Relationship Between Stock Market, Money Market and Foreign Exchange Market in Pakistan," Journal of Systems Science and Information, De Gruyter, vol. 5(1), pages 1-20, February.
    10. Yau, Hwey-Yun & Nieh, Chien-Chung, 2006. "Interrelationships among stock prices of Taiwan and Japan and NTD/Yen exchange rate," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 535-552, June.
    11. Henryk Gurgul & Łukasz Lach & Roland Mestel, 2012. "The relationship between budgetary expenditure and economic growth in Poland," Central European Journal of Operations Research, Springer;Slovak Society for Operations Research;Hungarian Operational Research Society;Czech Society for Operations Research;Österr. Gesellschaft für Operations Research (ÖGOR);Slovenian Society Informatika - Section for Operational Research;Croatian Operational Research Society, vol. 20(1), pages 161-182, March.
    12. Álvarez-Díaz, Marcos & González-Gómez, Manuel & Otero-Giráldez, María Soledad, 2018. "Main determinants of export-oriented bleached eucalyptus kraft pulp (BEKP) demand from the north-western regions of Spain," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 112-119.
    13. Chen, Yanhua & Li, Youwei & Pantelous, Athanasios A. & Stanley, H. Eugene, 2022. "Short-run disequilibrium adjustment and long-run equilibrium in the international stock markets: A network-based approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 79(C).
    14. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2015. "On Exports and Economic Growth-Multifarious Economies Perspective," MPRA Paper 77922, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2015.
    15. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2015. "The Export-Led Growth Hypothesis: New Evidence and Implications," MPRA Paper 77917, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised Jun 2015.
    16. Lin, Jeng-Bau & Fu, Shan-Heng, 2016. "Investigating the dynamic relationships between equity markets and currency markets," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(6), pages 2193-2198.
    17. Turgut Türsoy, 2017. "Causality between Stock Prices and Exchange Rates in Turkey: Empirical Evidence from the ARDL Bounds Test and a Combined Cointegration Approach," IJFS, MDPI, vol. 5(1), pages 1-10, March.
    18. Liu, Li & Wan, Jieqiu, 2012. "The relationships between Shanghai stock market and CNY/USD exchange rate: New evidence based on cross-correlation analysis, structural cointegration and nonlinear causality test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(23), pages 6051-6059.
    19. Bosupeng, Mpho, 2017. "Electricity Consumption and Exports Growth: Revisiting the Feedback Hypothesis," MPRA Paper 81756, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2017.
    20. Maria Teresa Medeiros Garcia & Ana Catarina Gomes Rodrigues, 2019. "The dynamic relationship between stock market indexes and foreign exchange," Working Papers REM 2019/90, ISEG - Lisbon School of Economics and Management, REM, Universidade de Lisboa.
    21. Litsios, Ioannis, 2013. "Exchange rate determination and equity prices: Evidence from the UK," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 10(2), pages 115-128.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:fgv:epgrbe:v:68:y:2014:i:4:a:3616. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Núcleo de Computação da FGV EPGE (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/epgvfbr.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.