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Crecimiento económico en México: restricción por la balanza de pagos

Author

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  • Ana Lourdes Morones Carrillo

    (Universidad Autónoma de Baja California (UABC))

Abstract

El presente documento analiza el cumplimiento de la Ley de Thirlwall para México en el periodo 1993-2014. Se incluyen pruebas de raíz unitaria y cointegración que incorporan choques estructurales endógenos. El vector de cointegración en el contexto teórico sugiere una restricción al crecimiento de México por la balanza de pagos. La tasa de crecimiento del país en el periodo es mayor a la consistente con el equilibrio de balanza de pagos, lo que implica déficit comercial. Los resultados sugieren un cambio estructural de tal forma que se desincentiven las importaciones y se agregue mayor valor a las exportaciones.

Suggested Citation

  • Ana Lourdes Morones Carrillo, 2016. "Crecimiento económico en México: restricción por la balanza de pagos," Ensayos Revista de Economía, Universidad Autónoma de Nuevo León, vol. 35(1), pages 39-58, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:ere:journl:v:35:y:2016:i:1:id:13
    DOI: 10.29105/ensayos35.1-2
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