IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/erc/cypepr/v7y2013i2p3-24.html

Output Loss from the Banking Crisis in Cyprus

Author

Listed:
  • Panos Pashardes

    (Department of Economics and Economics Research Centre, University of Cyprus)

  • Nicoletta Pashourtidou

    (Economics Research Centre, University of Cyprus)

Abstract

This article provides estimates of output losses of the banking crisis in Cyprus for the period 2012-2020. Unlike most studies, where the effects of banking crises are computed ex post using actual data, the crisis in Cyprus is still evolving and thus the output losses and the period over which the economy will be below its potential output are not known. The analysis is, therefore, conducted on the basis of the output gap approach, where projected replaces actual output in the comparison with potential output. Furthermore, we provide alternative output loss estimates to account for the uncertainty about the magnitude and the duration of the recession. Our results show that the crisis can be very costly in terms of lost output/income and growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Panos Pashardes & Nicoletta Pashourtidou, 2013. "Output Loss from the Banking Crisis in Cyprus," Cyprus Economic Policy Review, University of Cyprus, Economics Research Centre, vol. 7(2), pages 3-24, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:erc:cypepr:v:7:y:2013:i:2:p:3-24
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.ucy.ac.cy/erc/documents/Pashardes_Pashourtidou_3-24.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "The Aftermath of Financial Crises," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 99(2), pages 466-472, May.
    2. Valerie Cerra & Sweta Chaman Saxena, 2008. "Growth Dynamics: The Myth of Economic Recovery," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 98(1), pages 439-457, March.
    3. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2009. "Is the 2007 US Sub-Prime Financial Crisis So Different?: An International Historical Comparison," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(3), pages 291-299.
    4. Furceri, Davide & Zdzienicka, Aleksandra, 2012. "How costly are debt crises?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(4), pages 726-742.
    5. International Monetary Fund, 2013. "Cyprus: Second Review Under the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria," IMF Staff Country Reports 2013/374, International Monetary Fund.
    6. Michael Bordo & Barry Eichengreen & Daniela Klingebiel & Maria Soledad Martinez-Peria, 2001. "Is the crisis problem growing more severe?," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 16(32), pages 52-82.
    7. International Monetary Fund, 2013. "Cyprus: Request for an Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility," IMF Staff Country Reports 2013/125, International Monetary Fund.
    8. van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique & Osorio Rodarte, Israel & Burns, Andrew & Baffes, John, 2009. "How to feed the world in 2050: Macroeconomic environment, commodity markets - A longer temr outlook," MPRA Paper 19019, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Koutsampelas, Christos, 2014. "The introduction of a GMI scheme in Cyprus: family structure, equivalence scales and policy challenges," EUROMOD Working Papers EM10/14, EUROMOD at the Institute for Social and Economic Research.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. repec:erc:cypepr:v:7:y:2014:i:2:p:3-24 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Barthélémy, Sylvain & Binet, Marie-Estelle & Pentecôte, Jean-Sébastien, 2020. "Worldwide economic recoveries from financial crises through the decades," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    3. Mr. Stijn Claessens & Mr. Ayhan Kose, 2013. "Financial Crises Explanations, Types, and Implications," IMF Working Papers 2013/028, International Monetary Fund.
    4. Edward S. Knotek & Stephen J. Terry, 2009. "How will unemployment fare following the recession?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 94(Q III), pages 5-33.
    5. Steiner, Andreas, 2014. "Reserve accumulation and financial crises: From individual protection to systemic risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 126-144.
    6. Arvind Krishnamurthy & Wenhao Li, 2025. "Dissecting Mechanisms of Financial Crises: Intermediation and Sentiment," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 133(3), pages 935-985.
    7. Furceri, Davide & Zdzienicka, Aleksandra, 2012. "Banking Crises and Short and Medium Term Output Losses in Emerging and Developing Countries: The Role of Structural and Policy Variables," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 40(12), pages 2369-2378.
    8. André K. Anundsen & Karsten Gerdrup & Frank Hansen & Kasper Kragh‐Sørensen, 2016. "Bubbles and Crises: The Role of House Prices and Credit," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 31(7), pages 1291-1311, November.
    9. Rafiq, Shuddhasattwa, 2022. "How did house and stock prices respond to different crisis episodes since the 1870s?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 114(C).
    10. Davide Furceri & Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2010. "Banking Crises and Short and Medium Term Output Losses in Developing Countries: The Role of Structural and Policy Variables," Working Papers 1014, Groupe d'Analyse et de Théorie Economique Lyon St-Etienne (GATE Lyon St-Etienne), Université de Lyon.
    11. Bernal-Verdugo, Lorenzo E. & Furceri, Davide & Guillaume, Dominique, 2013. "Banking crises, labor reforms, and unemployment," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 1202-1219.
    12. Daniel Kapp & Marco Vega, 2014. "Real output costs of financial crises: A loss distribution approach," Cuadernos de Economía - Spanish Journal of Economics and Finance, Asociación Cuadernos de Economía, vol. 37(103), pages 13-28, Abril.
    13. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/4u5amfvji89k4pj64fk8bf01dm is not listed on IDEAS
    14. Can Sever, 2022. "Financial crises and institutional quality," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(1), pages 1510-1525, January.
    15. Christina D. Romer & David H. Romer, 2017. "New Evidence on the Aftermath of Financial Crises in Advanced Countries," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 107(10), pages 3072-3118, October.
    16. Davide Furceri & Mr. Lorenzo E. Bernal-Verdugo & Mr. Dominique M. Guillaume, 2012. "Crises, Labor Market Policy, and Unemployment," IMF Working Papers 2012/065, International Monetary Fund.
    17. Marc Hayford & Anastasios Malliaris, 2010. "Asset Prices and the Financial Crisis of 2007–09: An Overview of Theories and Policies," Forum for Social Economics, Springer;The Association for Social Economics, vol. 39(3), pages 279-286, October.
    18. Dimitrios Tsiotas & Marina‐Selini Katsaiti, 2025. "A 3D index for measuring economic resilience with application to modern financial crises," Journal of International Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 37(2), pages 371-404, March.
    19. Andrew Smith, 2012. "Measuring the macroeconomic costs of banking crises," Discussion Papers in Economics economics:201206, Griffith University, Department of Accounting, Finance and Economics.
    20. Davide Furceri & Aleksandra Zdzienicka, 2011. "The real effect of financial crises in the European transition economies," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 19(1), pages 1-25, January.
    21. Bofinger, Peter & Franz, Wolfgang & Schmidt, Christoph M. & Weder di Mauro, Beatrice & Wiegard, Wolfgang, 2010. "Chancen für einen stabilen Aufschwung. Jahresgutachten 2010/11 [Chances for a stable upturn. Annual Report 2010/11]," Annual Economic Reports / Jahresgutachten, German Council of Economic Experts / Sachverständigenrat zur Begutachtung der gesamtwirtschaftlichen Entwicklung, volume 127, number 201011.
    22. Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte & Fabien Rondeau, 2015. "Trade spillovers on output growth during the 2008 financial crisis," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 143, pages 36-47.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:erc:cypepr:v:7:y:2013:i:2:p:3-24. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Vasiliki Bozani (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/erucycy.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.