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Análisis de trayectorias de los hogares beneficiarios del programa Oportunidades


  • Raymundo M. Campos Vázquez

    (El Colegio de México)

  • Carlos Chiapa

    (El Colegio de México)

  • Eduardo Alma S. Santillán

    (El Colegio de México)


When beneficiary households of the Oportunidades program are surveyed again, it can occur that: (i) they keep their eligibility, (ii) they keep their eligibility with a lower cash transfer, or (iii) they are not eligible anymore. We use administrative records of the program to show what factors determine transitions from one state to other. Very poor households or those that live in very poor localities have low mobility among eligibility states. The education of the households’ head and number of children in the household have the greatest weight to determine eligibility in the short run.

Suggested Citation

  • Raymundo M. Campos Vázquez & Carlos Chiapa & Eduardo Alma S. Santillán, 2012. "Análisis de trayectorias de los hogares beneficiarios del programa Oportunidades," Estudios Económicos, El Colegio de México, Centro de Estudios Económicos, vol. 27(2), pages 295-346.
  • Handle: RePEc:emx:esteco:v:27:y:2012:i:2:p:295-346

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Álvarez, Carola & Devoto, Florencia & Winters, Paul, 2008. "Why do Beneficiaries Leave the Safety Net in Mexico? A Study of the Effects of Conditionality on Dropouts," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 36(4), pages 641-658, April.
    2. Ariel Fiszbein & Norbert Schady & Francisco H.G. Ferreira & Margaret Grosh & Niall Keleher & Pedro Olinto & Emmanuel Skoufias, 2009. "Conditional Cash Transfers : Reducing Present and Future Poverty," World Bank Publications, The World Bank, number 2597, June.
    3. Parker, Susan W. & Rubalcava, Luis & Teruel, Graciela, 2008. "Evaluating Conditional Schooling and Health Programs," Handbook of Development Economics, Elsevier.
    4. Ferreira , Francisco H.G. & Robalino, David, 2010. "Social protection in Latin America : achievements and limitations," Policy Research Working Paper Series 5305, The World Bank.
    5. Francesca Bastagli, 2009. "From Social Safety net to Social Policy? The Role of Conditional Cash Transfers in Welfare State Development in Latin America," Working Papers 60, International Policy Centre for Inclusive Growth.
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    More about this item


    México; Oportunidades program; eligibility; recertification.;

    JEL classification:

    • D10 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - General
    • D30 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - General
    • D69 - Microeconomics - - Welfare Economics - - - Other
    • I38 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Government Programs; Provision and Effects of Welfare Programs
    • O54 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Latin America; Caribbean


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