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A note on inflation targeting and economic growth in Brazil

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  • Gilberto Libânio

Abstract

This paper analyzes the relation between monetary policy and economic performance in Brazil during the period 1999-2006. In particular, it discusses the growth effects of the inflation targeting regime through its effects on aggregate demand. It is argued that monetary policy under IT reacts in a procyclical and asymmetric way to fluctuations in economic activity (too ‘tight’ during recessions, not so ‘loose’ during expansions). Such pattern may generate a downward bias in aggregate demand, with negative real effects on output growth and employment. Our results suggest that monetary policy has been procyclical and asymmetrical in Brazil under inflation targeting. The main economic policy implication of this study is that central banks should consider more seriously the real effects of monetary policy on output and employment. JEL Classification: E52; E58.

Suggested Citation

  • Gilberto Libânio, 2010. "A note on inflation targeting and economic growth in Brazil," Brazilian Journal of Political Economy, Center of Political Economy, vol. 30(1), pages 73-88.
    • Handle: RePEc:ekm:repojs:v:30:y:2010:i:1:p:73-88:id:431
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    Cited by:

    1. Fernando Ferrari Filho, Marcelo Milan, 2018. "Excess Real Interest Rates and the Inflation Targeting Regime in Brazil: Monetary Policy Ineffectiveness and Rentiers¡¯ Interests," Applied Economics and Finance, Redfame publishing, vol. 5(6), pages 84-100, November.
    2. Ahmet Benlialper & Hasan Cömert & Nadir Öcal, 2017. "Asymmetric Exchange Rate Policy in Inflation Targeting Developing Countries," ERC Working Papers 1702, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Feb 2017.
    3. Alberto Botta, 2014. "The Macroeconomics of a Financial Dutch Disease," DEM Working Papers Series 089, University of Pavia, Department of Economics and Management.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Monetary policy; inflation targeting; aggregate demand;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies

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