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High-resolution poverty maps in Sub-Saharan Africa

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  • Lee, Kamwoo
  • Braithwaite, Jeanine

Abstract

Up-to-date poverty maps are an important tool for policymakers, but have been prohibitively expensive to produce and maintain ongoing accuracy. We propose a generalizable prediction methodology to produce poverty maps at the village level using geospatial data and machine learning algorithms. We tested the method for 25 Sub-Saharan African countries and validated against survey data. Our method can increase the validity of both single country and cross-country estimations, leading to more accurate poverty maps with a higher geographic precision for Sub-Saharan African countries. More importantly, our cross-country estimation enables the creation of poverty maps when it is not practical or cost-effective to field new national household surveys, as is the case with many low- and middle-income countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Lee, Kamwoo & Braithwaite, Jeanine, 2022. "High-resolution poverty maps in Sub-Saharan Africa," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:wdevel:v:159:y:2022:i:c:s0305750x22002182
    DOI: 10.1016/j.worlddev.2022.106028
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. van der Weide, Roy & Blankespoor, Brian & Elbers, Chris & Lanjouw, Peter, 2024. "How accurate is a poverty map based on remote sensing data? An application to Malawi," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    2. Robin Jarry & Marc Chaumont & Laure Berti-Equille & Gérard Subsol, 2024. "Predicting Socio-economic Indicator Variations with Satellite Image Time Series and Transformer," Post-Print lirmm-04895134, HAL.
    3. Mahler, Daniel Gerszon & Schoch, Marta & Lakner, Christoph & Nguyen, Minh Cong, 2025. "Predicting Income Distributions from Almost Nothing," Policy Research Working Paper Series 11034, The World Bank.
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    5. Krantz, Sebastian, 2024. "Mapping Africa's infrastructure potential with geospatial big data and causal ML," Kiel Working Papers 2276, Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
    6. Newhouse,David Locke, 2023. "Small Area Estimation of Poverty and Wealth Using Geospatial Data : What Have We Learned SoFar ?," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10512, The World Bank.
    7. Theara Khoun & Ate Poortinga & Nyein Soe Thwal & Iván González de Alba & Andrea McMahon & Carlos Mendez, 2025. "Mapping the Dimensions of Poverty Through Big Data, Socioeconomic Surveys and Machine Learning in Cambodia," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 180(3), pages 1593-1618, December.
    8. Hector Najera, 2026. "A Bayesian Approach for Valid and Credible Inferences on the 2010–2020 Changes in Multidimensional Poverty in Mexico at Municipal Level," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 181(1), pages 1-31, January.
    9. Dang, Hai-Anh H & Nguyen, Cuong Viet, 2025. "Employing Data Imputation to Track Poverty and Welfare Trends over Extended Time Periods: An Application to a Poorer Country," IZA Discussion Papers 18236, IZA Network @ LISER.
    10. Delprato, Marcos & Chudgar, Amita & Frola, Alessia, 2024. "Spatial education inequality for attainment indicators in sub-saharan Africa and spillovers effects," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 176(C).

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