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Evaluation of the Swedish car fleet model using recent applications

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  • Beser Hugosson, Muriel
  • Algers, Staffan
  • Habibi, Shiva
  • Sundbergh, Pia

Abstract

The composition of the car fleet with respect to age, fuel consumption and fuel types plays an important role on environmental effects, oil dependency and energy consumption. In Sweden, a number of different policies have been implemented to support CO2 emission reductions. In order to evaluate effects of different policies, a model for the evolution of the Swedish car fleet was developed in 2006. The model has been used in a number of projects since then, and it is now possible to compare forecasts with actual outcomes. Such evidence is relatively rare, and we think it may be useful to share our experience in this respect.

Suggested Citation

  • Beser Hugosson, Muriel & Algers, Staffan & Habibi, Shiva & Sundbergh, Pia, 2016. "Evaluation of the Swedish car fleet model using recent applications," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 30-40.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:49:y:2016:i:c:p:30-40
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2016.03.010
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    Cited by:

    1. Fridstrøm, Lasse, 2017. "From innovation to penetration: Calculating the energy transition time lag for motor vehicles," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 487-502.
    2. Viri, Riku & Mäkinen, Johanna & Liimatainen, Heikki, 2021. "Modelling car fleet renewal in Finland: A model and development speed-based scenarios," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 63-79.
    3. Shiva Habibi & Emma Frejinger & Marcus Sundberg, 2019. "An empirical study on aggregation of alternatives and its influence on prediction in car type choice models," Transportation, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 563-582, June.
    4. Habibi, Shiva & Beser Hugosson, Muriel & Sundbergh, Pia & Algers, Staffan, 2016. "Car fleet policy evaluation: the case of a Bonus-Malus system in Sweden," Working papers in Transport Economics 2016:19, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI).
    5. Rešetar, Marko & Pejić, Goran & Lulić, Zoran, 2018. "Changes and trends in the Croatian road vehicle fleet – Need for change of policy measures," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 92-105.
    6. Florimond Gueniat & Sahdia Maryam, 2024. "A comprehensive and policy-oriented model of the hydrogen vehicle fleet composition, applied to the UK market," Environment Systems and Decisions, Springer, vol. 44(1), pages 85-99, March.
    7. Kristoffersson, Ida & Daly, Andrew & Algers, Staffan & Svalgård-Jarcem, Stehn, 2020. "Representing travel cost variation in large-scale models of long-distance passenger transport," Papers 2020:6, Research Programme in Transport Economics.
    8. Pyddoke, Roger & Swärdh, Jan-Erik & Algers, Staffan & Habibi, Shiva & Sedehi Zadeh, Noor, 2019. "Long-term responses to car-tax policies: distributional effects and reduced carbon emissions," Papers 2019:4, Research Programme in Transport Economics.

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