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The factors influencing future concessionary bus patronage in Scotland and their implications for elsewhere

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  • Rye, Tom
  • Scotney, David

Abstract

Recent changes in UK transport policy have seen the introduction of more generous concessionary travel for elderly people on local buses. However, the increase in patronage that these changes may bring masks another significant influence on elderly people's bus use: changing car ownership. Using data from Scotland and the UK more generally, this paper provides an analysis of likely changes in bus use by elderly people over the next 13 years, showing that numbers of total trips would be likely to remain constant in the absence of scheme changes, in spite of a 19% increase in the total number of elderly people. The influence of such changes on the economics of bus operation more generally are then discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Rye, Tom & Scotney, David, 2004. "The factors influencing future concessionary bus patronage in Scotland and their implications for elsewhere," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 11(2), pages 133-140, April.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:trapol:v:11:y:2004:i:2:p:133-140
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Joyce M. Dargay & Mark Hanly, 2002. "The Demand for Local Bus Services in England," Journal of Transport Economics and Policy, University of Bath, vol. 36(1), pages 73-91, January.
    2. Bresson, Georges & Dargay, Joyce & Madre, Jean-Loup & Pirotte, Alain, 2003. "The main determinants of the demand for public transport: a comparative analysis of England and France using shrinkage estimators," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 37(7), pages 605-627, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Ruben G. Mercado & K. Bruce Newbold, 2009. "Car Driving and Public Transit Use in Canadian Metropolitan Areas: Focus on Elderly and Role of Health and Social Network Factors," Social and Economic Dimensions of an Aging Population Research Papers 243, McMaster University.
    2. Preston, John, 2016. "Big buses in a small country: The prospects for bus services in Wales," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 379-387.
    3. Rye, Tom & Carreno, Michael, 2008. "Concessionary fares and bus operator reimbursement in Scotland and Wales: No better or no worse off?," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 15(4), pages 242-250, July.
    4. repec:eee:trapol:v:63:y:2018:i:c:p:73-79 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. repec:eee:transa:v:100:y:2017:i:c:p:162-169 is not listed on IDEAS

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