IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/transa/v128y2019icp11-33.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A fast reaction-based port vulnerability assessment: Case of Tianjin Port explosion

Author

Listed:
  • Cao, Xinhu
  • Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee

Abstract

There has been a growing international attention on port catastrophes after the 2015 Tianjin Port explosion, which calls for a realistic yet effective method to assess seaports’ vulnerability. However, quantitative vulnerability analysis of ports during the initial post-disaster stage by traditional methods reveals challenges due to the scarcity of data and the inoperability in treating diverse data formations in a utility vulnerability inference mechanism. Thus, this study proposes a fast reaction-based port vulnerability assessment framework (FRPVA) which allows the quantification of ex-post port vulnerability. The fuzzy evidential reasoning (ER) approach and the fuzzy Technique for Order Preference by Similarity Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) are embedded in the proposed framework. The FRPVA framework is applied to the case of the 2015 Tianjin Port explosion in two assessment periods – one day and four months after the explosion. Our results show that (1) the collection and distribution system as well as the storage system are bottlenecks of the Tianjin Port; (2) the storage system is the most vulnerable among the four assessment units in both assessment periods; (3) after four months’ recovery, the vulnerability condition of the loading and unloading system improves the most comparing to other three assessment units. Outputs of this framework can be useful references for various port stakeholders in prioritizing protected targets, planning routes, as well as for (re)insurance companies as a part of the catastrophe modeling.

Suggested Citation

  • Cao, Xinhu & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2019. "A fast reaction-based port vulnerability assessment: Case of Tianjin Port explosion," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 11-33.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:128:y:2019:i:c:p:11-33
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tra.2019.05.019
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0965856418306633
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.tra.2019.05.019?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Saut Gurning & Stephen Cahoon, 2011. "Analysis of multi-mitigation scenarios on maritime disruptions," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(3), pages 251-268, May.
    2. Cheng-Hsien Hsieh & Hui-Huang Tai & Yang-Ning Lee, 2014. "Port vulnerability assessment from the perspective of critical infrastructure interdependency," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(6), pages 589-606, November.
    3. Sven Fuchs & Jörn Birkmann & Thomas Glade, 2012. "Vulnerability assessment in natural hazard and risk analysis: current approaches and future challenges," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(3), pages 1969-1975, December.
    4. Yuen, Chi-lok Andrew & Zhang, Anming & Cheung, Waiman, 2012. "Port competitiveness from the users' perspective: An analysis of major container ports in China and its neighboring countries," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 35(1), pages 34-40.
    5. Na, Ung Jin & Shinozuka, Masanobu, 2009. "Simulation-based seismic loss estimation of seaport transportation system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 94(3), pages 722-731.
    6. Jasmine Siu Lee Lam & Shiling Su, 2015. "Disruption risks and mitigation strategies: an analysis of Asian ports," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(5), pages 415-435, July.
    7. David C. Earnest & Steve Yetiv & Stephen M. Carmel, 2012. "Contagion in the Transpacific Shipping Network: International Networks and Vulnerability Interdependence," International Interactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 38(5), pages 571-596, November.
    8. Cao, Xinhu & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2018. "Simulation-based catastrophe-induced port loss estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 1-12.
    9. Vicki M. Bier & Yacov Y. Haimes & James H. Lambert & Nicholas C. Matalas & Rae Zimmerman, 1999. "A Survey of Approaches for Assessing and Managing the Risk of Extremes," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 19(1), pages 83-94, February.
    10. Jiaguo Liu & Huan Zhou & Huali Sun, 2019. "A three-dimensional risk management model of port logistics for hazardous goods," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(6), pages 715-734, August.
    11. Yip, Tsz Leung, 2008. "Port traffic risks - A study of accidents in Hong Kong waters," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 44(5), pages 921-931, September.
    12. Z. L. Yang & J. Wang & S. Bonsall & Q. G. Fang, 2009. "Use of Fuzzy Evidential Reasoning in Maritime Security Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(1), pages 95-120, January.
    13. Yang, Zaili & Ng, Adolf K.Y. & Wang, Jin, 2014. "A new risk quantification approach in port facility security assessment," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 72-90.
    14. Roland W. Scholz & Yann B. Blumer & Fridolin S. Brand, 2012. "Risk, vulnerability, robustness, and resilience from a decision-theoretic perspective," Journal of Risk Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(3), pages 313-330, March.
    15. Susan L. Cutter & Bryan J. Boruff & W. Lynn Shirley, 2003. "Social Vulnerability to Environmental Hazards," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 84(2), pages 242-261, June.
    16. Terje Aven, 2011. "On Some Recent Definitions and Analysis Frameworks for Risk, Vulnerability, and Resilience," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(4), pages 515-522, April.
    17. Di Wu & Nuo Wang & Anqi Yu & Nuan Wu, 2019. "Vulnerability analysis of global container shipping liner network based on main channel disruption," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 46(4), pages 394-409, May.
    18. Cheng-Hsien Hsieh, 2014. "Disaster risk assessment of ports based on the perspective of vulnerability," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 74(2), pages 851-864, November.
    19. Certa, Antonella & Hopps, Fabrizio & Inghilleri, Roberta & La Fata, Concetta Manuela, 2017. "A Dempster-Shafer Theory-based approach to the Failure Mode, Effects and Criticality Analysis (FMECA) under epistemic uncertainty: application to the propulsion system of a fishing vessel," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 69-79.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Heather Holden & Maha Hussein Abdallah & Dane Rowlands, 2023. "A study to assess the applicability of using remote sensing to minimize service interruption of Canadian port physical infrastructure," Journal of Transportation Security, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 1-18, December.
    2. Zhen, Lu & Lin, Shumin & Zhou, Chenhao, 2022. "Green port oriented resilience improvement for traffic-power coupled networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xueni Gou & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam, 2019. "Risk analysis of marine cargoes and major port disruptions," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 21(4), pages 497-523, December.
    2. Yi‐Ping Fang & Giovanni Sansavini & Enrico Zio, 2019. "An Optimization‐Based Framework for the Identification of Vulnerabilities in Electric Power Grids Exposed to Natural Hazards," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 39(9), pages 1949-1969, September.
    3. Pitilakis, Kyriazis & Argyroudis, Sotiris & Fotopoulou, Stavroula & Karafagka, Stella & Kakderi, Kalliopi & Selva, Jacopo, 2019. "Application of stress test concepts for port infrastructures against natural hazards. The case of Thessaloniki port in Greece," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 240-257.
    4. Jiang, Meizhi & Lu, Jing, 2020. "The analysis of maritime piracy occurred in Southeast Asia by using Bayesian network," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    5. Nguyen, Son & Chen, Peggy Shu-Ling & Du, Yuquan & Shi, Wenming, 2019. "A quantitative risk analysis model with integrated deliberative Delphi platform for container shipping operational risks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 203-227.
    6. Hani Alyami & Paul Tae-Woo Lee & Zaili Yang & Ramin Riahi & Stephen Bonsall & Jin Wang, 2014. "An advanced risk analysis approach for container port safety evaluation," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(7), pages 634-650, December.
    7. Scholz, Roland W. & Czichos, Reiner & Parycek, Peter & Lampoltshammer, Thomas J., 2020. "Organizational vulnerability of digital threats: A first validation of an assessment method," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 282(2), pages 627-643.
    8. Bing Wu & Huibin Tian & Xinping Yan & C. Guedes Soares, 2020. "A probabilistic consequence estimation model for collision accidents in the downstream of Yangtze River using Bayesian Networks," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 234(2), pages 422-436, April.
    9. Yifan Yang & S. Thomas Ng & Frank J. Xu & Martin Skitmore & Shenghua Zhou, 2019. "Towards Resilient Civil Infrastructure Asset Management: An Information Elicitation and Analytical Framework," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(16), pages 1-24, August.
    10. Ducruet, César, 2020. "The geography of maritime networks: A critical review," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    11. Jundong Hou & Jun Lv & Xin Chen & Shiwei Yu, 2016. "China’s regional social vulnerability to geological disasters: evaluation and spatial characteristics analysis," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 84(1), pages 97-111, November.
    12. Liu, Wei & Song, Zhaoyang, 2020. "Review of studies on the resilience of urban critical infrastructure networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    13. Xiao, Yi-bin & Fu, Xiaowen & Ng, Adolf K.Y. & Zhang, Anming, 2015. "Port investments on coastal and marine disasters prevention: Economic modeling and implications," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 202-221.
    14. Dirzka, Christopher & Acciaro, Michele, 2022. "Global shipping network dynamics during the COVID-19 pandemic's initial phases," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
    15. Bing Wu & Xinping Yan & Yang Wang & C. Guedes Soares, 2017. "An Evidential Reasoning‐Based CREAM to Human Reliability Analysis in Maritime Accident Process," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(10), pages 1936-1957, October.
    16. Francisco Valderrey & Lina Carreño & Simone Lucatello & Emanuele Giorgi, 2023. "Multidisciplinary Evaluation of Vulnerabilities: Communities in Northern Mexico," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(17), pages 1-22, August.
    17. Irfan Ahmad Rana & Jayant K. Routray, 2018. "Integrated methodology for flood risk assessment and application in urban communities of Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 91(1), pages 239-266, March.
    18. Gonzalez-Aregall, Marta & Bergqvist, Rickard, 2019. "The role of dry ports in solving seaport disruptions: A Swedish case study," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    19. Wang, Nanxi & Wu, Min & Yuen, Kum Fai, 2023. "Assessment of port resilience using Bayesian network: A study of strategies to enhance readiness and response capacities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    20. Lihong Wang & Zaiwu Gong, 2017. "Priority of a Hesitant Fuzzy Linguistic Preference Relation with a Normal Distribution in Meteorological Disaster Risk Assessment," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-16, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:transa:v:128:y:2019:i:c:p:11-33. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/547/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.