IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/taf/marpmg/v41y2014i7p634-650.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

An advanced risk analysis approach for container port safety evaluation

Author

Listed:
  • Hani Alyami
  • Paul Tae-Woo Lee
  • Zaili Yang
  • Ramin Riahi
  • Stephen Bonsall
  • Jin Wang

Abstract

Risk analysis in seaports plays an increasingly important role in ensuring port operation reliability, maritime transportation safety and supply chain distribution resilience. However, the task is not straightforward given the challenges, including that port safety is affected by multiple factors related to design, installation, operation and maintenance and that traditional risk assessment methods such as quantitative risk analysis cannot sufficiently address uncertainty in failure data. This paper develops an advanced Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) approach through incorporating Fuzzy Rule-Based Bayesian Networks (FRBN) to evaluate the criticality of the hazardous events (HEs) in a container terminal. The rational use of the Degrees of Belief (DoB) in a fuzzy rule base (FRB) facilitates the implementation of the new method in Container Terminal Risk Evaluation (CTRE) in practice. Compared to conventional FMEA methods, the new approach integrates FRB and BN in a complementary manner, in which the former provides a realistic and flexible way to describe input failure information while the latter allows easy updating of risk estimation results and facilitates real-time safety evaluation and dynamic risk-based decision support in container terminals. The proposed approach can also be tailored for wider application in other engineering and management systems, especially when instant risk ranking is required by the stakeholders to measure, predict and improve their system safety and reliability performance.

Suggested Citation

  • Hani Alyami & Paul Tae-Woo Lee & Zaili Yang & Ramin Riahi & Stephen Bonsall & Jin Wang, 2014. "An advanced risk analysis approach for container port safety evaluation," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(7), pages 634-650, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:marpmg:v:41:y:2014:i:7:p:634-650
    DOI: 10.1080/03088839.2014.960498
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1080/03088839.2014.960498
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1080/03088839.2014.960498?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jones, B. & Jenkinson, I. & Yang, Z. & Wang, J., 2010. "The use of Bayesian network modelling for maintenance planning in a manufacturing industry," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(3), pages 267-277.
    2. J. H. M. Tah & V. Carr, 2000. "A proposal for construction project risk assessment using fuzzy logic," Construction Management and Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(4), pages 491-500.
    3. Kun Wang & Adolf K Y Ng & Jasmine Siu Lee Lam & Xiaowen Fu, 2012. "Cooperation or competition? Factors and conditions affecting regional port governance in South China," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 14(3), pages 386-408, September.
    4. Theo E. Notteboom & Athanasios A. Pallis & Peter W. De Langen & Aimilia Papachristou, 2013. "Advances in port studies: the contribution of 40 years Maritime Policy & Management," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 40(7), pages 636-653, December.
    5. Theo E. Notteboom * & Jean-Paul Rodrigue, 2005. "Port regionalization: towards a new phase in port development," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 297-313, July.
    6. Matteo Golfarelli & Stefano Rizzi, 2009. "What-if Simulation Modeling in Business Intelligence," International Journal of Data Warehousing and Mining (IJDWM), IGI Global, vol. 5(4), pages 24-43, October.
    7. Jasmine Siu Lee Lam & Wei Yim Yap, 2011. "Container port competition and complementarity in supply chain systems: Evidence from the Pearl River Delta," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 13(2), pages 102-120, June.
    8. Z. L. Yang & J. Wang & S. Bonsall & Q. G. Fang, 2009. "Use of Fuzzy Evidential Reasoning in Maritime Security Assessment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 29(1), pages 95-120, January.
    9. Wu, Yen-Chun Jim & Goh, Mark, 2010. "Container port efficiency in emerging and more advanced markets," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 46(6), pages 1030-1042, November.
    10. Yang, Jian-Bo, 2001. "Rule and utility based evidential reasoning approach for multiattribute decision analysis under uncertainties," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 131(1), pages 31-61, May.
    11. Yang, Zaili & Ng, Adolf K.Y. & Wang, Jin, 2014. "A new risk quantification approach in port facility security assessment," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 72-90.
    12. Legato, Pasquale & Monaco, M. Flavia, 2004. "Human resources management at a marine container terminal," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 156(3), pages 769-781, August.
    13. Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee & Yap, Wei Yim, 2011. "Dynamics of liner shipping network and port connectivity in supply chain systems: analysis on East Asia," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 1272-1281.
    14. Vis, Iris F. A. & de Koster, Rene, 2003. "Transshipment of containers at a container terminal: An overview," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 1-16, May.
    15. Athanasios A. Pallis & Thomas K. Vitsounis & Peter W. De Langen, 2009. "Port Economics, Policy and Management: Review of an Emerging Research Field," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 30(1), pages 115-161, February.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Lian Zhu & Linjun Lu & Wenying Zhang & Yurou Zhao & Meining Song, 2019. "Analysis of Accident Severity for Curved Roadways Based on Bayesian Networks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-17, April.
    2. Asma-Qamaliah Abdul-Hamid & Lokhman Hakim Osman & Ahmad Raflis Che Omar & Mara Ridhuan Che Abdul Rahman & Mohd Helmi Ali, 2023. "What Have We Learned? A Bibliometric Review of a Three-Decade Investigation into the Supply Chain Uncertainty and a Revised Framework to Cope with the Challenges," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-19, November.
    3. Eko Hariyadi Budiyanto & Raja Oloan Saut Gurning & Trika Pitana, 2021. "The Application of Business Impact Analysis Due to Electricity Disruption in a Container Terminal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-17, October.
    4. Fan, Shiqi & Yang, Zaili, 2022. "Safety and security co-analysis in transport systems: Current state and regulatory development," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 166(C), pages 369-388.
    5. Deda Đelović, 2024. "Considerations on Prevention of Pollution from Ships in a Seaport," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(12), pages 1-25, June.
    6. Efrah Wozir Abdulahi & Luo Fan, 2021. "Exploring and Validating Container Operational Risk Scale in Container Shipping: The Case of Ethiopian Shipping and Logistics Service Enterprise," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-21, August.
    7. Nguyen, Son & Chen, Peggy Shu-Ling & Du, Yuquan & Thai, Vinh V., 2021. "An Operational Risk Analysis Model for Container Shipping Systems considering Uncertainty Quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    8. Zuritah A. Kadir & Roslina Mohammad & Norazli Othman & Astuty Amrin & Mohd Nabil Muhtazaruddin & Siti Hawa Abu-Bakar & Firdaus Muhammad-Sukki, 2020. "Risk Management Framework for Handling and Storage of Cargo at Major Ports in Malaysia towards Port Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-20, January.
    9. Yang, Zhisen & Yang, Zaili & Teixeira, Angelo Palos, 2020. "Comparative analysis of the impact of new inspection regime on port state control inspection," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 65-80.
    10. Li, Junjun & Yu, Anqi & Xu, Bowei, 2022. "Risk propagation and evolution analysis of multi-level handlings at automated terminals based on double-layer dynamic network model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 605(C).
    11. Seddigh, Mohammad Reza & Targholizadeh, Aida & Shokouhyar, Sajjad & Shokoohyar, Sina, 2023. "Social media and expert analysis cast light on the mechanisms of underlying problems in pharmaceutical supply chain: An exploratory approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    12. Shoukohyar, Sajjad & Seddigh, Mohammad Reza, 2020. "Uncovering the dark and bright sides of implementing collaborative forecasting throughout sustainable supply chains: An exploratory approach," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 158(C).
    13. Wan, Chengpeng & Yan, Xinping & Zhang, Di & Qu, Zhuohua & Yang, Zaili, 2019. "An advanced fuzzy Bayesian-based FMEA approach for assessing maritime supply chain risks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 222-240.
    14. Nguyen, Son & Chen, Peggy Shu-Ling & Du, Yuquan & Shi, Wenming, 2019. "A quantitative risk analysis model with integrated deliberative Delphi platform for container shipping operational risks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 203-227.
    15. Yanyi Chen & Bozhong Zhou & Xiaofeng Pan & Hao Zhang & Honglu Qian & Wen Cheng & Weiqing Yin, 2024. "Assessing Waterway Carrying Capacity from a Multi-Benefit Synergistic Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(11), pages 1-27, May.
    16. Egor PLOTNIKOV & Aleksandr RAKHMANGULOV, 2021. "Modeling China'S Dry Port Cooperation In Supply Chains," Transport Problems, Silesian University of Technology, Faculty of Transport, vol. 16(3), pages 89-103, September.
    17. Chang, Chia-Hsun & Kontovas, Christos & Yu, Qing & Yang, Zaili, 2021. "Risk assessment of the operations of maritime autonomous surface ships," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    18. Muhammad Ilyas & Zhihong Jin & Irfan Ullah & Abbas Agha Jafri, 2023. "Investigation of Risk Factors Influencing the Safety of Maritime Containers Supply Chain: In the Period of the Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-18, May.
    19. Zhou, Kaiwen & Xing, Wenbin & Wang, Jingbo & Li, Huanhuan & Yang, Zaili, 2024. "A data-driven risk model for maritime casualty analysis: A global perspective," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    20. Asadabadi, Ali & Miller-Hooks, Elise, 2020. "Maritime port network resiliency and reliability through co-opetition," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    21. Zhou, Yusheng & Li, Xue & Yuen, Kum Fai, 2022. "Holistic risk assessment of container shipping service based on Bayesian Network Modelling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Nguyen, Son & Chen, Peggy Shu-Ling & Du, Yuquan & Shi, Wenming, 2019. "A quantitative risk analysis model with integrated deliberative Delphi platform for container shipping operational risks," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 203-227.
    2. Su-Han Woo & Stephen Pettit & Anthony Beresford & Dong-Wook Kwak, 2012. "Seaport Research: A Decadal Analysis of Trends and Themes Since the 1980s," Transport Reviews, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(3), pages 351-377, January.
    3. Yip, Tsz Leung & Liu, John Jianhua & Fu, Xiaowen & Feng, Jiejian, 2014. "Modeling the effects of competition on seaport terminal awarding," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 341-349.
    4. Bing Wu & Xinping Yan & Yang Wang & C. Guedes Soares, 2017. "An Evidential Reasoning‐Based CREAM to Human Reliability Analysis in Maritime Accident Process," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 37(10), pages 1936-1957, October.
    5. Ha, Min-Ho & Yang, Zaili & Notteboom, Theo & Ng, Adolf K.Y. & Heo, Man-Wook, 2017. "Revisiting port performance measurement: A hybrid multi-stakeholder framework for the modelling of port performance indicators," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 1-16.
    6. Deng, Ping & Song, Lian & Xiao, Ruiqi & Huang, Chengfeng, 2022. "Evaluation of logistics and port connectivity in the Yangtze River Economic Belt of China," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 249-267.
    7. Jiang, Meizhi & Lu, Jing, 2020. "The analysis of maritime piracy occurred in Southeast Asia by using Bayesian network," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    8. Zhu, Shengda & Fu, Xiaowen & Bell, Michael G.H., 2021. "Container shipping line port choice patterns in East Asia the effects of port affiliation and spatial dependence," Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    9. Martínez-Moya, Julián & Feo-Valero, María, 2020. "Measuring foreland container port connectivity disaggregated by destination markets: An index for Short Sea Shipping services in Spanish ports," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    10. Ha, Min-Ho & Yang, Zaili & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2019. "Port performance in container transport logistics: A multi-stakeholder perspective," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 25-40.
    11. Ng, Adolf K.Y. & Padilha, Flavio & Pallis, Athanasios A., 2013. "Institutions, bureaucratic and logistical roles of dry ports: the Brazilian experiences," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 46-55.
    12. Wan, Chengpeng & Yan, Xinping & Zhang, Di & Yang, Zaili, 2019. "A novel policy making aid model for the development of LNG fuelled ships," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 29-44.
    13. Ducruet, César, 2020. "The geography of maritime networks: A critical review," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    14. Chang, Chia-Hsun & Kontovas, Christos & Yu, Qing & Yang, Zaili, 2021. "Risk assessment of the operations of maritime autonomous surface ships," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 207(C).
    15. Adolf K. Y. Ng & Kenneth Wong & Eva C. Shou & Changmin Jiang, 2019. "Geography and institutional change: insights from a container terminal operator," Maritime Economics & Logistics, Palgrave Macmillan;International Association of Maritime Economists (IAME), vol. 21(3), pages 334-352, September.
    16. Özkan Uğurlu & Serdar Yıldız & Sean Loughney & Jin Wang & Shota Kuntchulia & Irakli Sharabidze, 2020. "Analyzing Collision, Grounding, and Sinking Accidents Occurring in the Black Sea Utilizing HFACS and Bayesian Networks," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(12), pages 2610-2638, December.
    17. E. Gutiérrez & S. Lozano & B. Adenso-Díaz & P. González-Torre, 2015. "Efficiency assessment of container operations of shipping agents in Spanish ports," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 42(6), pages 591-607, August.
    18. Chen, Jihong & Wan, Zheng & Zhang, Fangwei & Park, Nam-kyu & Zheng, Aibing & Zhao, Jun, 2018. "Evaluation and comparison of the development performances of typical free trade port zones in China," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 506-526.
    19. Kaptan, Mehmet & Uğurlu, Özkan & Wang, Jin, 2021. "The effect of nonconformities encountered in the use of technology on the occurrence of collision, contact and grounding accidents," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    20. Giovanni Satta & Francesco Parola & Simone Caschili, 2014. "Dealing with uncertainty and volatility in the port industry network: social and instrumental antecedents of "clique" survival," Maritime Policy & Management, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 41(7), pages 615-633, December.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:taf:marpmg:v:41:y:2014:i:7:p:634-650. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Chris Longhurst (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.tandfonline.com/TMPM20 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.