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How to evaluate the effects of climate change on tourism


  • Rosselló-Nadal, Jaume


The aim of this study is to assess the most relevant quantitative approaches to evaluating the effects of climate change on tourism. In recent years, numerous empirical studies have conducted evaluations of this kind, based on different methodologies and perspectives. This review shows that the effects of climate change can first be assessed through changes in physical conditions essential to tourism; secondly, by using climate indexes to measure the attractiveness of tourist destinations; and, thirdly, by modelling tourism demand with the inclusion of climate determinants. The review suggests that, although some methodologies are in the early stages of development, different approaches result in a similar map of those areas mainly affected by the problem.

Suggested Citation

  • Rosselló-Nadal, Jaume, 2014. "How to evaluate the effects of climate change on tourism," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 334-340.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:touman:v:42:y:2014:i:c:p:334-340
    DOI: 10.1016/j.tourman.2013.11.006

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    References listed on IDEAS

    1. Lin, Tzu-Ping & Matzarakis, Andreas, 2011. "Tourism climate information based on human thermal perception in Taiwan and Eastern China," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 492-500.
    2. Bas Amelung & Alvaro Moreno, 2012. "Costing the impact of climate change on tourism in Europe: results of the PESETA project," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 112(1), pages 83-100, May.
    3. Eugenio-Martin, Juan L. & Campos-Soria, Juan A., 2010. "Climate in the region of origin and destination choice in outbound tourism demand," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 31(6), pages 744-753.
    4. Jaume Roselló Nadal & María Santana Gallego, 2012. "Climate change and global international tourism: An evaluation for different scenarios," DEA Working Papers 52, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada.
    5. Kelvin J. Lancaster, 1966. "A New Approach to Consumer Theory," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 74, pages 132-132.
    6. Angel Bujosa & Jaume Rosselló, 2013. "Climate change and summer mass tourism: the case of Spanish domestic tourism," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(1), pages 363-375, March.
    7. Andrea Bigano & Jacqueline M. Hamilton & Richard S.J. Tol, 2005. "The Impact Of Climate Change On Domestic And International Tourism: A Simulation Study," Working Papers FNU-58, Research unit Sustainability and Global Change, Hamburg University, revised Jan 2005.
    8. Tol, Richard S. J. & Walsh, Sharon, 2012. "The Impact of Climate on Tourist Destination Choice," Papers WP423, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
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    Cited by:

    1. Kuo-Tsang Huang & Jen Chun Wang, 2015. "Greenhouse Gas Emissions of Tourism-Based Leisure Farms in Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 7(8), pages 1-18, August.
    2. Ugo Arbieu & Claudia Grünewald & Matthias Schleuning & Katrin Böhning-Gaese, 2017. "The importance of vegetation density for tourists’ wildlife viewing experience and satisfaction in African savannah ecosystems," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(9), pages 1-15, September.
    3. Jordi Moreno-Gené & Laura Sánchez-Pulido & Eduard Cristobal-Fransi & Natalia Daries, 2018. "The Economic Sustainability of Snow Tourism: The Case of Ski Resorts in Austria, France, and Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 10(9), pages 1-20, August.


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