IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/stapro/v79y2009i17p1884-1889.html

Discrete-valued ARMA processes

Author

Listed:
  • Biswas, Atanu
  • Song, Peter X.-K.

Abstract

This paper presents a unified framework of stationary ARMA processes for discrete-valued time series based on Pegram's [Pegram, G.G.S., 1980. An autoregressive model for multilag markov chains. J. Appl. Probab. 17, 350-362] mixing operator. Such a stochastic operator appears to be more flexible than the currently popular thinning operator to construct Box and Jenkins' type stationary ARMA processes with arbitrary discrete marginal distributions. This flexibility allows us to yield an ARMA model for time series of binomial or categorical observations as a special case, which was unavailable with the extended thinning operator [Joe, H., 1996. Time series models with univariate margins in the convolution-closed infinitely divisible class. J. Appl. Probab. 33, 664-677] because the binomial/categorical distribution is not infinitely divisible. We also study parameter estimation and comparison with the thinning operator based method, whenever applicable. Real data examples are used to examine and illustrate the proposed method.

Suggested Citation

  • Biswas, Atanu & Song, Peter X.-K., 2009. "Discrete-valued ARMA processes," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 79(17), pages 1884-1889, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:stapro:v:79:y:2009:i:17:p:1884-1889
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167-7152(09)00197-7
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Benjamin M.A. & Rigby R.A. & Stasinopoulos D.M., 2003. "Generalized Autoregressive Moving Average Models," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 98, pages 214-223, January.
    2. Bahjat F. Qaqish, 2003. "A family of multivariate binary distributions for simulating correlated binary variables with specified marginal means and correlations," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 90(2), pages 455-463, June.
    3. Ludwig Fahrmeir & Heinz Kaufmann, 1987. "Regression Models For Non‐Stationary Categorical Time Series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 8(2), pages 147-160, March.
    4. Rong Zhu & Harry Joe, 2006. "Modelling Count Data Time Series with Markov Processes Based on Binomial Thinning," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 27(5), pages 725-738, September.
    5. P. A. Jacobs & P. A. W. Lewis, 1983. "Stationary Discrete Autoregressive‐Moving Average Time Series Generated By Mixtures," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 4(1), pages 19-36, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wooi Chen Khoo & Seng Huat Ong & Biswas Atanu, 2022. "Coherent Forecasting for a Mixed Integer-Valued Time Series Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(16), pages 1-15, August.
    2. Atanu Biswas & Maria Carmen Pardo & Apratim Guha, 2014. "Auto-association measures for stationary time series of categorical data," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(3), pages 487-514, September.
    3. Šárka Hudecová & Marie Hušková & Simos G. Meintanis, 2021. "Goodness–of–Fit Tests for Bivariate Time Series of Counts," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-20, March.
    4. Moysiadis, Theodoros & Fokianos, Konstantinos, 2014. "On binary and categorical time series models with feedback," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 209-228.
    5. Doszyń Mariusz, 2017. "Forecasting Randomly Distributed Zero-Inflated Time Series," Folia Oeconomica Stetinensia, Sciendo, vol. 17(1), pages 7-19, June.
    6. Wooi Chen Khoo & Seng Huat Ong & Atanu Biswas, 2017. "Modeling time series of counts with a new class of INAR(1) model," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 58(2), pages 393-416, June.
    7. Raju Maiti & Atanu Biswas, 2015. "Coherent forecasting for stationary time series of discrete data," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 99(3), pages 337-365, July.
    8. Wooi Chen Khoo & Seng Huat Ong & Victor Jian Ming Low & Hari M. Srivastava, 2025. "A Mixture Integer GARCH Model with Application to Modeling and Forecasting COVID-19 Counts," Stats, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-13, August.
    9. Hamdouch, Younes & Szeto, W.Y. & Jiang, Y., 2014. "A new schedule-based transit assignment model with travel strategies and supply uncertainties," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 35-67.
    10. Rostami-Tabar, Bahman & Disney, Stephen M., 2023. "On the order-up-to policy with intermittent integer demand and logically consistent forecasts," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 257(C).
    11. Song, Peter X.-K. & Freeland, R. Keith & Biswas, Atanu & Zhang, Shulin, 2013. "Statistical analysis of discrete-valued time series using categorical ARMA models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 112-124.
    12. Fokianos, Konstantinos & Truquet, Lionel, 2019. "On categorical time series models with covariates," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(9), pages 3446-3462.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Song, Peter X.-K. & Freeland, R. Keith & Biswas, Atanu & Zhang, Shulin, 2013. "Statistical analysis of discrete-valued time series using categorical ARMA models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 57(1), pages 112-124.
    2. Moysiadis, Theodoros & Fokianos, Konstantinos, 2014. "On binary and categorical time series models with feedback," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 131(C), pages 209-228.
    3. Fokianos, Konstantinos & Truquet, Lionel, 2019. "On categorical time series models with covariates," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(9), pages 3446-3462.
    4. Yao Rao & David Harris & Brendan McCabe, 2022. "A semi‐parametric integer‐valued autoregressive model with covariates," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 71(3), pages 495-516, June.
    5. Wagner Barreto‐Souza & Hernando Ombao, 2022. "The negative binomial process: A tractable model with composite likelihood‐based inference," Scandinavian Journal of Statistics, Danish Society for Theoretical Statistics;Finnish Statistical Society;Norwegian Statistical Association;Swedish Statistical Association, vol. 49(2), pages 568-592, June.
    6. Guosheng Yin & Yu Shen, 2005. "Adaptive Design and Estimation in Randomized Clinical Trials with Correlated Observations," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 61(2), pages 362-369, June.
    7. A. M. M. Shahiduzzaman Quoreshi & Reaz Uddin & Naushad Mamode Khan, 2019. "Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Long Memory Stock Transaction Data—Under Conditional Heteroskedasticity Framework," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-13, April.
    8. Sun-Joo Cho & Sarah Brown-Schmidt & Woo-yeol Lee, 2018. "Autoregressive Generalized Linear Mixed Effect Models with Crossed Random Effects: An Application to Intensive Binary Time Series Eye-Tracking Data," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 83(3), pages 751-771, September.
    9. Aknouche, Abdelhakim & Dimitrakopoulos, Stefanos, 2020. "On an integer-valued stochastic intensity model for time series of counts," MPRA Paper 105406, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Atanu Biswas & Maria Carmen Pardo & Apratim Guha, 2014. "Auto-association measures for stationary time series of categorical data," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 23(3), pages 487-514, September.
    11. Fabrizio Cipollini & Robert F. Engle & Giampiero M. Gallo, 2006. "Vector Multiplicative Error Models: Representation and Inference," NBER Technical Working Papers 0331, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Jorge A. Sefair & Oscar Guaje & Andrés L. Medaglia, 2021. "A column-oriented optimization approach for the generation of correlated random vectors," OR Spectrum: Quantitative Approaches in Management, Springer;Gesellschaft für Operations Research e.V., vol. 43(3), pages 777-808, September.
    13. Brajendra C. Sutradhar, 2018. "Semi-parametric Dynamic Models for Longitudinal Ordinal Categorical Data," Sankhya A: The Indian Journal of Statistics, Springer;Indian Statistical Institute, vol. 80(1), pages 80-109, February.
    14. Raju Maiti & Atanu Biswas, 2015. "Coherent forecasting for stationary time series of discrete data," AStA Advances in Statistical Analysis, Springer;German Statistical Society, vol. 99(3), pages 337-365, July.
    15. Y. Fong & J. Wakefield & S. De Rosa & N. Frahm, 2012. "A Robust Bayesian Random Effects Model for Nonlinear Calibration Problems," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 68(4), pages 1103-1112, December.
    16. Fokianos, Konstantinos & Rahbek, Anders & Tjøstheim, Dag, 2009. "Poisson Autoregression," Journal of the American Statistical Association, American Statistical Association, vol. 104(488), pages 1430-1439.
    17. Guilherme Pumi & Taiane Schaedler Prass & Cleiton Guollo Taufemback, 2024. "Publisher Correction: Unit-Weibull autoregressive moving average models," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 33(1), pages 358-359, March.
    18. Zheng, Tingguo & Xiao, Han & Chen, Rong, 2015. "Generalized ARMA models with martingale difference errors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 189(2), pages 492-506.
    19. Song‐Hee Kim & Ward Whitt, 2014. "Choosing arrival process models for service systems: Tests of a nonhomogeneous Poisson process," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 61(1), pages 66-90, February.
    20. Damian Eduardo Taranto & Giacomo Bormetti & Fabrizio Lillo, 2014. "The adaptive nature of liquidity taking in limit order books," Papers 1403.0842, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2014.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:stapro:v:79:y:2009:i:17:p:1884-1889. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/622892/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.