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Universal residuals: A multivariate transformation

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  • Brockwell, A.E.

Abstract

Rosenblatt's transformation has been used extensively for the evaluation of model goodness-of-fit, but it only applies to models whose joint distribution is continuous. In this paper we generalize the transformation so that it applies to arbitrary probability models. The transformation is simple, but has a wide range of possible applications, providing a tool for exploratory data analysis and formal goodness-of-fit testing for a very general class of probability models. The method is demonstrated with specific examples.

Suggested Citation

  • Brockwell, A.E., 2007. "Universal residuals: A multivariate transformation," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 77(14), pages 1473-1478, August.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:stapro:v:77:y:2007:i:14:p:1473-1478
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Justel, Ana & Peña, Daniel & Zamar, Rubén, 1997. "A multivariate Kolmogorov-Smirnov test of goodness of fit," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 35(3), pages 251-259, October.
    2. Sangjoon Kim & Neil Shephard & Siddhartha Chib, 1998. "Stochastic Volatility: Likelihood Inference and Comparison with ARCH Models," Review of Economic Studies, Oxford University Press, vol. 65(3), pages 361-393.
    3. Diebold, Francis X & Gunther, Todd A & Tay, Anthony S, 1998. "Evaluating Density Forecasts with Applications to Financial Risk Management," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 39(4), pages 863-883, November.
    4. N. H. Chan & A. E. Brockwell, 2006. "Long-memory dynamic Tobit models," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(5), pages 351-367.
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    Cited by:

    1. Weiß, Gregor N.F. & Supper, Hendrik, 2013. "Forecasting liquidity-adjusted intraday Value-at-Risk with vine copulas," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(9), pages 3334-3350.
    2. Nikolaus Hautsch & Peter Malec & Melanie Schienle, 2014. "Capturing the Zero: A New Class of Zero-Augmented Distributions and Multiplicative Error Processes," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Society for Financial Econometrics, pages 89-121.
    3. Tsyplakov, Alexander, 2013. "Evaluation of Probabilistic Forecasts: Proper Scoring Rules and Moments," MPRA Paper 45186, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Kolassa, Stephan, 2016. "Evaluating predictive count data distributions in retail sales forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 788-803.
    5. Cui, Yunwei & Wu, Rongning, 2016. "On conditional maximum likelihood estimation for INGARCH(p,q) models," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 1-7.

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