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Decarbonising transport in Europe: Trends, goals, policies and passenger car scenarios

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  • Danielis, Romeo
  • Scorrano, Mariangela
  • Giansoldati, Marco

Abstract

The paper has two main goals: to draw a summary picture of the progress made towards transport decarbonisation in Europe, and to identify future developments concerning the 2020–2030 decade. The analysis is based on the 4th and 5th reports prepared by the Member States under the obligation Renewable Energy Directive (2009/28/EC) and on the National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) for the 2020–2030 decade, paying specific attention to the use of renewables in the transport sector. We find that the Member States rely on two strategies: increasing the production and use of biofuels, especially those produced by advanced materials, and supporting the diffusion of electric vehicles. Performing a scenario analysis capturing the planned policies and goals indicated in the NECPs, we estimate that the biofuel strategy can deliver a GHG reduction of up to 19 MtCO2eq (−3.6%), while the electrification strategy can deliver a GHG reduction up to 45 MtCO2eq (−8.3%). Jointly used, the GHG reduction could reach up to 64 MtCO2eq (−11.9%).

Suggested Citation

  • Danielis, Romeo & Scorrano, Mariangela & Giansoldati, Marco, 2022. "Decarbonising transport in Europe: Trends, goals, policies and passenger car scenarios," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 91(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:retrec:v:91:y:2022:i:c:s0739885921000408
    DOI: 10.1016/j.retrec.2021.101068
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Giansoldati, Marco & Rotaris, Lucia & Scorrano, Mariangela & Danielis, Romeo, 2020. "Does electric car knowledge influence car choice? Evidence from a hybrid choice model," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
    2. Danielis, Romeo & Rotaris, Lucia & Giansoldati, Marco & Scorrano, Mariangela, 2020. "Drivers’ preferences for electric cars in Italy. Evidence from a country with limited but growing electric car uptake," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 137(C), pages 79-94.
    3. Tobias Haas & Hendrik Sander, 2020. "Decarbonizing Transport in the European Union: Emission Performance Standards and the Perspectives for a European Green Deal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-15, October.
    4. Ito, Yutaka & Managi, Shunsuke, 2015. "The potential of alternative fuel vehicles: A cost-benefit analysis," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 39-50.
    5. Krause, Jette & Thiel, Christian & Tsokolis, Dimitrios & Samaras, Zissis & Rota, Christian & Ward, Andy & Prenninger, Peter & Coosemans, Thierry & Neugebauer, Stephan & Verhoeve, Wim, 2020. "EU road vehicle energy consumption and CO2 emissions by 2050 – Expert-based scenarios," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    6. Nocera, Silvio & Cavallaro, Federico, 2017. "A two-step method to evaluate the Well-To-Wheel carbon efficiency of Urban Consolidation Centres," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 44-55.
    7. Mariangela Scorrano & Terje Andreas Mathisen & Marco Giansoldati, 2019. "Is electric car uptake driven by monetary factors? A total cost of ownership comparison between Norway and Italy," ECONOMICS AND POLICY OF ENERGY AND THE ENVIRONMENT, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 0(2), pages 99-132.
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    Cited by:

    1. Dolge, Kristiāna & Barisa, Aiga & Kirsanovs, Vladimirs & Blumberga, Dagnija, 2023. "The status quo of the EU transport sector: Cross-country indicator-based comparison and policy evaluation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 334(C).
    2. Torkayesh, Ali Ebadi & Venghaus, Sandra, 2024. "Decoding the transport policy maze towards climate neutrality: Cross-sectoral policy landscapes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 206(C).
    3. Romeo Danielis, 2023. "Fiscal Policies on New Passenger Cars in Europe: Implications for the Competitiveness of Electric Cars," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-13, November.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Decarbonisation; Biofuels; Electrification; Road transport; Passenger cars;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R40 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - General
    • R42 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government and Private Investment Analysis; Road Maintenance; Transportation Planning
    • R48 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - Transportation Economics - - - Government Pricing and Policy

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