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Trade policy and industrialisation when backward and forward linkages matter

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  • Baldwin, Richard
  • Venables, Anthony J.

Abstract

This paper develops a model in which the interaction of forward and backward linkages determines the range of goods and of parts that are produced in a developing economy. Using a simple formalisation of the range and sophistication of parts used in different goods, the paper investigates the effects of trade and industrial policy. Linkages create multiplier effects, so, for example, support for final goods producers can increase the range of parts produced, broadening the industrial base and attracting entry of further final goods producers. Effects depend on whether policy is targeted at appropriate margins. Policies that expand the range of parts on the margin are likely to spark more industrialisation than policies that promote parts production within the margin (parts that are already produced domestically), or parts far beyond the margin (highly sophisticated parts not used in locally produced final goods).

Suggested Citation

  • Baldwin, Richard & Venables, Anthony J., 2015. "Trade policy and industrialisation when backward and forward linkages matter," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 123-131.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reecon:v:69:y:2015:i:2:p:123-131
    DOI: 10.1016/j.rie.2015.02.008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Baldwin, Richard & Venables, Anthony J., 2013. "Spiders and snakes: Offshoring and agglomeration in the global economy," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 90(2), pages 245-254.
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    5. Venables, Anthony J, 1996. "Equilibrium Locations of Vertically Linked Industries," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 37(2), pages 341-359, May.
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    7. Dani Rodrik, 2016. "Premature deindustrialization," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-33, March.
    8. Puga, Diego & Venables, Anthony J, 1999. "Agglomeration and Economic Development: Import Substitution vs. Trade Liberalisation," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 109(455), pages 292-311, April.
    9. repec:hhs:iuiwop:430 is not listed on IDEAS
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    Cited by:

    1. Maria Savona, 2021. "Revisiting High Development Theory to Explain Upgrading Prospects in Business Services Global Value Chains," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 33(2), pages 206-226, April.
    2. Michael Stierle & Ulrike Stierle-von Schütz & Stijn Rocher, 2018. "How did Regional Economic Structures in the EU Change during the Economic Crisis?," European Economy - Discussion Papers 088, Directorate General Economic and Financial Affairs (DG ECFIN), European Commission.
    3. Svetlana Ledyayeva, 2017. "Export incentives and global value chains," UCL SSEES Economics and Business working paper series 2017-2, UCL School of Slavonic and East European Studies (SSEES).
    4. Kawabata, Yasushi, 2015. "Endogenous formation of free trade agreements in vertically related markets," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 214-223.
    5. Lahiri, Sajal & Ono, Yoshiyasu, 2015. "Pollution, foreign direct investment, and welfare," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 238-247.
    6. Filippo Bontadini & Maria Savona, 2019. "Revisiting the Natural Resource ‘Curse’ in the Context of Trade in Value Added: Enclave or High-development Backward Linkages?," SPRU Working Paper Series 2019-15, SPRU - Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex Business School.
    7. Boone, Jan & Žigić, Krešimir, 2015. "Trade policy in markets with collusion: The case of North–South R&D spillovers," Research in Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(2), pages 224-237.
    8. ITO Koji & Ivan DESEATNICOV & FUKAO Kyoji, 2017. "Japanese Plants' Heterogeneity in Sales, Factor Inputs, and Participation in Global Value Chains," Discussion papers 17117, Research Institute of Economy, Trade and Industry (RIETI).
    9. Bernard Hoekman, 2016. "Subsidies, Spillovers and WTO Rules in a Value-chain World," Global Policy, London School of Economics and Political Science, vol. 7(3), pages 351-359, September.
    10. Maria Savona & Filippo Bontadini, 2023. "Revisiting the Natural Resource Curse: Backward Linkages for Export Diversification and Structural Economic Transformation," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 54(2), pages 378-421, March.
    11. Emre Özçelik & Erdal Özmen, 2020. "Premature Deindustrialisation: The International Evidence," ERC Working Papers 2001, ERC - Economic Research Center, Middle East Technical University, revised Sep 2020.
    12. Gbadago, Frank Yao & Enu-Kwesi, Francis & Agyei, Samuel Kwaku & Gatsi, John Gartchie, 2023. "Key local factors, supplier and linkage effectiveness: Evidence from the upstream petroleum sector of Ghana," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    13. Bernard Hoekman & Douglas Nelson, 2020. "Subsidies, Spillovers and Multilateral Cooperation," RSCAS Working Papers 2020/12, European University Institute.

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