IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/phsmap/v539y2020ics0378437119316577.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Nonlinear analysis of Casablanca Stock Exchange, Dow Jones and S&P500 industrial sectors with a comparison

Author

Listed:
  • Lahmiri, Salim
  • Bekiros, Stelios

Abstract

Long memory, information content, information generation, and randomness are evaluated in various industrial sectors from Casablanca Stock Exchange (CSE), Dow Jones, and S&P500. Then, three formal statistical tests are performed to check presence of differences. It is found that Dow Jones and S&P500 industrial sectors which are developed markets are characterized by richer information content and circulation compared to industrial sectors in CSE which is a developing stock market. In addition, the obtained empirical results show that the amount of information content and generation increases with stock market size. Finally, prices are potentially predictable in all industrial sectors across all three markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios, 2020. "Nonlinear analysis of Casablanca Stock Exchange, Dow Jones and S&P500 industrial sectors with a comparison," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 539(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:539:y:2020:i:c:s0378437119316577
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.122923
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0378437119316577
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only. Journal offers the option of making the article available online on Science direct for a fee of $3,000
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.physa.2019.122923?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mehdi Lallouache & Frédéric Abergel, 2014. "Tick size reduction and price clustering in a FX order book," Post-Print hal-01006414, HAL.
    2. I. Muni Toke, 2015. "The order book as a queueing system: average depth and influence of the size of limit orders," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(5), pages 795-808, May.
    3. Lahmiri, Salim, 2016. "Clustering of Casablanca stock market based on hurst exponent estimates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 456(C), pages 310-318.
    4. Rasmus T. Varneskov & Pierre Perron, 2018. "Combining long memory and level shifts in modelling and forecasting the volatility of asset returns," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(3), pages 371-393, March.
    5. Caginalp, Gunduz & DeSantis, Mark, 2017. "Does price efficiency increase with trading volume? Evidence of nonlinearity and power laws in ETFs," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 467(C), pages 436-452.
    6. Shelton Peiris & Manabu Asai & Michael McAleer, 2017. "Estimating and Forecasting Generalized Fractional Long Memory Stochastic Volatility Models," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-16, December.
    7. Maskawa, Jun-ichi, 2007. "Correlation of coming limit price with order book in stock markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 383(1), pages 90-95.
    8. Silva, Thiago Christiano & de Souza, Sergio Rubens Stancato & Tabak, Benjamin Miranda, 2016. "Structure and dynamics of the global financial network," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 218-234.
    9. Ichiki, Shingo & Nishinari, Katsuhiro, 2015. "Simple stochastic order-book model of swarm behavior in continuous double auction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 420(C), pages 304-314.
    10. Gopikrishnan, P. & Plerou, V. & Gabaix, X. & Amaral, L.A.N. & Stanley, H.E., 2001. "Price fluctuations and market activity," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 299(1), pages 137-143.
    11. Mehdi Lallouache & Fr'ed'eric Abergel, 2013. "Tick Size Reduction and Price Clustering in a FX Order Book," Papers 1307.5440, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2014.
    12. Lallouache, Mehdi & Abergel, Frédéric, 2014. "Tick size reduction and price clustering in a FX order book," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 416(C), pages 488-498.
    13. Kraicová Lucie & Baruník Jozef, 2017. "Estimation of long memory in volatility using wavelets," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(3), pages 1-22, June.
    14. Lahmiri, Salim, 2017. "On fractality and chaos in Moroccan family business stock returns and volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 473(C), pages 29-39.
    15. V. Plerou & P. Gopikrishnan & X. Gabaix & L. A. N. Amaral & H. E. Stanley, 2001. "Price fluctuations, market activity and trading volume," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 1(2), pages 262-269.
    16. Jianbo Gao & Jing Hu & Wen-Wen Tung & Yi Zheng, 2013. "Multiscale analysis of economic time series by scale-dependent Lyapunov exponent," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 13(2), pages 265-274, January.
    17. J. Doyne Farmer & Laszlo Gillemot & Fabrizio Lillo & Szabolcs Mike & Anindya Sen, 2004. "What really causes large price changes?," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(4), pages 383-397.
    18. Ruan, Qingsong & Jiang, Wei & Ma, Guofeng, 2016. "Cross-correlations between price and volume in Chinese gold markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 451(C), pages 10-22.
    19. Ashadun Nobi & Sungmin Lee & Doo Hwan Kim & Jae Woo Lee, 2014. "Correlation and Network Topologies in Global and Local Stock Indices," Papers 1402.1552, arXiv.org.
    20. Wang, Dong-Hua & Suo, Yuan-Yuan & Yu, Xiao-Wen & Lei, Man, 2013. "Price–volume cross-correlation analysis of CSI300 index futures," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 392(5), pages 1172-1179.
    21. Lahmiri, Salim, 2017. "Investigating existence of chaos in short and long term dynamics of Moroccan exchange rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 465(C), pages 655-661.
    22. Wang, Kaiyang & Yang, Haizhen, 2018. "The price-volume relationship caused by asset allocation based on Kelly criterion," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 1-8.
    23. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2017. "Modelling intensities of order flows in a limit order book," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 683-701, May.
    24. Federico Platania & Pedro Serrano & Mikel Tapia, 2018. "Modelling the shape of the limit order book," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 18(9), pages 1575-1597, September.
    25. M. Shelton Peiris & Manabu Asai, 2016. "Generalized Fractional Processes with Long Memory and Time Dependent Volatility Revisited," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 4(3), pages 1-21, September.
    26. Lahmiri, Salim & Uddin, Gazi Salah & Bekiros, Stelios, 2017. "Clustering of short and long-term co-movements in international financial and commodity markets in wavelet domain," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 947-955.
    27. Ioane Muni Toke, 2015. "The order book as a queueing system: average depth and influence of the size of limit orders," Post-Print hal-01006410, HAL.
    28. Jan Pospíšil & Tomáš Sobotka, 2016. "Market calibration under a long memory stochastic volatility model," Applied Mathematical Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(5), pages 323-343, September.
    29. Jun-ichi Maskawa, 2007. "Correlation of coming limit price with order book in stock markets," Papers physics/0702029, arXiv.org.
    30. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2017. "Modelling intensities of order flows in a limit order book," Post-Print hal-01705080, HAL.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Jian & Shao, Wei & Kim, Junseok, 2020. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis between respiratory diseases and haze in South Korea," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
    2. Claudiu Tiberiu Albulescu & Aviral Kumar Tiwari & Phouphet Kyophilavong, 2021. "Nonlinearities and Chaos: A New Analysis of CEE Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-13, March.
    3. Wang, Jian & Kim, Junseok & Shao, Wei & Nam, SeungHyon & Hong, Soon-Cheol, 2021. "Effect of oxytocin injection on fetal heart rate based on multifractal analysis," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).
    4. Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios, 2020. "Renyi entropy and mutual information measurement of market expectations and investor fear during the COVID-19 pandemic," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    5. Weng Hoe Lam & Weng Siew Lam & Kah Fai Liew & Pei Fun Lee, 2023. "Decision Analysis on the Financial Performance of Companies Using Integrated Entropy-Fuzzy TOPSIS Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-18, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ioane Muni Toke, 2017. "Stationary Distribution Of The Volume At The Best Quote In A Poisson Order Book Model," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 20(06), pages 1-22, September.
    2. Ni, Xiao-Hui & Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Gu, Gao-Feng & Ren, Fei & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2010. "Scaling and memory in the non-Poisson process of limit order cancelation," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(14), pages 2751-2761.
    3. Gao-Feng Gu & Xiong Xiong & Wei Zhang & Yong-Jie Zhang & Wei-Xing Zhou, 2014. "Empirical properties of inter-cancellation durations in the Chinese stock market," Papers 1403.3478, arXiv.org.
    4. Lahmiri, Salim & Bekiros, Stelios, 2017. "Disturbances and complexity in volatility time series," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 38-42.
    5. Aslam, Faheem & Zil-e-huma, & Bibi, Rashida & Ferreira, Paulo, 2022. "Cross-correlations between economic policy uncertainty and precious and industrial metals: A multifractal cross-correlation analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
    6. Gu, Gao-Feng & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008. "Empirical shape function of limit-order books in the Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(21), pages 5182-5188.
    7. Wei-Xing Zhou, 2012. "Universal price impact functions of individual trades in an order-driven market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(8), pages 1253-1263, June.
    8. Li, Xin & Li, Shenghong & Xu, Chong, 2020. "Price clustering in Bitcoin market—An extension," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    9. repec:wsi:acsxxx:v:21:y:2018:i:08:n:s0219525918500194 is not listed on IDEAS
    10. Vladim'ir Hol'y & Petra Tomanov'a, 2021. "Modeling Price Clustering in High-Frequency Prices," Papers 2102.12112, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2021.
    11. Jiang, Zhi-Qiang & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2010. "Complex stock trading network among investors," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(21), pages 4929-4941.
    12. Ioane Muni Toke, 2017. "Stationary Distribution Of The Volume At The Best Quote In A Poisson Order Book Model," Post-Print hal-01705085, HAL.
    13. Mahmoodzadeh, Soheil & Gençay, Ramazan, 2017. "Human vs. high-frequency traders, penny jumping, and tick size," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 69-82.
    14. Damien Challet & R'emy Chicheportiche & Mehdi Lallouache & Serge Kassibrakis, 2016. "Statistically validated lead-lag networks and inventory prediction in the foreign exchange market," Papers 1609.04640, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2018.
    15. Xiao, Xijuan & Yamamoto, Ryuichi, 2020. "Price discovery, order submission, and tick size during preopen period," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
    16. Wang, Kaiyang & Yang, Haizhen, 2018. "The price-volume relationship caused by asset allocation based on Kelly criterion," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 1-8.
    17. Chen, Zhimin & Ibragimov, Rustam, 2019. "One country, two systems? The heavy-tailedness of Chinese A- and H- share markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 115-141.
    18. Ioane Muni Toke & Nakahiro Yoshida, 2020. "Marked point processes and intensity ratios for limit order book modeling," Papers 2001.08442, arXiv.org.
    19. Gu, Gao-Feng & Chen, Wei & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2008. "Empirical regularities of order placement in the Chinese stock market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 387(13), pages 3173-3182.
    20. Ichiki, Shingo & Nishinari, Katsuhiro, 2015. "Simple stochastic order-book model of swarm behavior in continuous double auction," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 420(C), pages 304-314.
    21. Aslam, Faheem & Aziz, Saqib & Nguyen, Duc Khuong & Mughal, Khurrum S. & Khan, Maaz, 2020. "On the efficiency of foreign exchange markets in times of the COVID-19 pandemic," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:539:y:2020:i:c:s0378437119316577. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/physica-a-statistical-mechpplications/ .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.