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Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of the relation between price and volume in European carbon futures markets

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  • Zou, Shaohui
  • Zhang, Tian

Abstract

Recently, with the development of European carbon futures markets, the complex dynamic relationship between price and volume has become the focus of energy research area. In our research, we applied multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis method (MF-DCCA) to investigate the cross-correlation and multifractality between price and volume in European carbon futures markets. Firstly, the analysis of basic statistics show that the European carbon futures market has obvious non-normal, peak-heavy-tailed distribution, which does not satisfy the normal distribution hypothesis in the efficient market. Secondly, through multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis, we conclude that trading price and volume relationship in European carbon futures markets has a non-linear dependence. Thirdly, we find the existence of power-law cross-correlations between price and volume in European carbon futures markets. Finally, the relationship between price and volume is non-linear. After random rearrangement and phase treatment of correlation coefficients, the long-range correlation of small fluctuations and large fluctuations and the fat tail distribution of series are the reasons for the formation of multifractality.

Suggested Citation

  • Zou, Shaohui & Zhang, Tian, 2020. "Multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis of the relation between price and volume in European carbon futures markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 537(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:537:y:2020:i:c:s037843711931338x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2019.122310
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    2. Liu, Jianing & Man, Yuanyuan & Dong, Xiuliang, 2023. "Tail dependence and risk spillover effects between China's carbon market and energy markets," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 84(C), pages 553-567.
    3. Xu, Lin & Wu, Chenyang & Qin, Quande & Lin, Xiaoying, 2022. "Spillover effects and nonlinear correlations between carbon emissions and stock markets: An empirical analysis of China's carbon-intensive industries," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    4. Zhan, Cun & Liang, Chuan & Zhao, Lu & Jiang, Shouzheng & Niu, Kaijie & Zhang, Yaling, 2023. "Multifractal characteristics of multiscale drought in the Yellow River Basin, China," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 609(C).
    5. Wang, Feng & Ye, Xin & Chen, HongTao & Wu, Congxin, 2021. "A portfolio strategy of stock market based on mean-MF-X-DMA model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 143(C).
    6. Farhang Rahmani & Mohammad Hadi Fattahi, 2021. "A multifractal cross-correlation investigation into sensitivity and dependence of meteorological and hydrological droughts on precipitation and temperature," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(3), pages 2197-2219, December.
    7. Milena Kojić & Petar Mitić & Marko Dimovski & Jelena Minović, 2021. "Multivariate Multifractal Detrending Moving Average Analysis of Air Pollutants," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-17, March.

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