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Inflation and inflation uncertainty in the G-7 countries

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  • Berument, Hakan
  • Nergiz Dincer, N.

Abstract

This study examines the relationship between inflation and inflation uncertainty in the G-7 countries for the period from 1957 to 2001. The causality between the inflation and inflation uncertainty is tested by using the Full Information Maximum Likelihood Method with extended lags. Our results suggest that inflation causes inflation uncertainty for all the G-7 countries, while inflation uncertainty causes inflation for Canada, France, Japan, the UK and the US. Furthermore, we find that in four countries (Canada, France, the UK and the US) increased uncertainty lowers inflation, and in only one country (Japan), increased uncertainty raises inflation.

Suggested Citation

  • Berument, Hakan & Nergiz Dincer, N., 2005. "Inflation and inflation uncertainty in the G-7 countries," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 348(C), pages 371-379.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:348:y:2005:i:c:p:371-379
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2004.09.003
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    Cited by:

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    8. Shah, Said Zamin & Baharumshah, Ahmad Zubaidi & Hook, Law Siong & Habibullah, Muzafar Shah, 2017. "Nominal uncertainty, real uncertainty and macroeconomic performance in a time-varying asymmetric framework: Implications for monetary policy," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 42(C), pages 75-93.
    9. Binner, J.M. & Tino, P. & Tepper, J. & Anderson, R. & Jones, B. & Kendall, G., 2010. "Does money matter in inflation forecasting?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(21), pages 4793-4808.
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    15. Serkan Erkam & Tarkan Cavusoglu, 2008. "Modelling Inflation Uncertainty In Transition Economies:The Case Of Russia And The Former Soviet Republics," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 53(178-179), pages 44-71, July - De.
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