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Financial liberalization: Poverty trap or chaos

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  • Kikuchi, Tomoo
  • Vachadze, George

Abstract

We construct an overlapping generations model in which people are subject to limited pledgeability and uncertainty over entrepreneurial projects. We show that whether financial liberalization generates a poverty trap, an endogenous fluctuation, or both depends on the interaction of pledgeability and uncertainty. Endogenous fluctuation requires a high level of both pledgeability and uncertainty. Poverty trap requires a low level of both. For an intermediate level of both, the initially poor are trapped in poverty while the initially rich fluctuate endogenously.

Suggested Citation

  • Kikuchi, Tomoo & Vachadze, George, 2015. "Financial liberalization: Poverty trap or chaos," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 59(C), pages 1-9.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:mateco:v:59:y:2015:i:c:p:1-9
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jmateco.2015.04.005
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    2. Markus Brueckner & Tomoo Kikuchi & George Vachadze, 2020. "Transitional Dynamics of the Saving Rate and Economic Growth," Papers 2012.15435, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2021.
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    4. Sanchez-Carrera Edgar J. & Travaglini Giuseppe & Ille Sebastian, 2021. "Macrodynamic Modeling of Innovation Equilibria and Traps," The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, De Gruyter, vol. 21(2), pages 659-694, June.
    5. Xinxin Zhao & Zongjun Wang & Min Deng, 2019. "Interest Rate Marketization, Financing Constraints and R&D Investments: Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-17, April.
    6. Wai-Hong Ho, 2017. "Financial market globalization, nonconvergence and credit cycles," Annals of Finance, Springer, vol. 13(2), pages 153-180, May.
    7. Kikuchi, Tomoo & Stachurski, John & Vachadze, George, 2018. "Volatile capital flows and financial integration: The role of moral hazard," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 176(C), pages 170-192.
    8. Takuma Kunieda & Akihisa Shibata, 2014. "Credit Market Imperfections and Macroeconomic Instability," Pacific Economic Review, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(5), pages 592-611, December.
    9. Gao, Wei & Yan, Li & Saeedi, Mohammadhossein & Saberi Nik, Hassan, 2018. "Ultimate bound estimation set and chaos synchronization for a financial risk system," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 19-33.

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