IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/juipol/v66y2020ics0957178720300746.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

How should price-responsive electricity tariffs evolve? An analysis of the German net demand case

Author

Listed:
  • Pereira, Diogo Santos
  • Marques, António Cardoso

Abstract

This research proves, using daily data, that net demand has a higher impact on the German wholesale market price than the traditional concept of electricity demand. The aim of this paper is to develop a broader framework for the design of new tariffs for German consumers, taking net demand as its primary reference. To accomplish this, a classification of net demand by level was developed. The findings of this research provide new insights about the occurrence of net valley and net peak periods, something which is useful for designing tariffs, affecting how the price should be differentiated during the day.

Suggested Citation

  • Pereira, Diogo Santos & Marques, António Cardoso, 2020. "How should price-responsive electricity tariffs evolve? An analysis of the German net demand case," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:juipol:v:66:y:2020:i:c:s0957178720300746
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jup.2020.101079
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0957178720300746
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jup.2020.101079?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Jordehi, A. Rezaee, 2019. "Optimisation of demand response in electric power systems, a review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 308-319.
    2. Venizelou, Venizelos & Philippou, Nikolas & Hadjipanayi, Maria & Makrides, George & Efthymiou, Venizelos & Georghiou, George E., 2018. "Development of a novel time-of-use tariff algorithm for residential prosumer price-based demand side management," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 142(C), pages 633-646.
    3. Maciejowska, Katarzyna, 2020. "Assessing the impact of renewable energy sources on the electricity price level and variability – A quantile regression approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    4. Cyril Martin de Lagarde & Frédéric Lantz, 2018. "How renewable production depresses electricity prices: Evidence from the German market," Post-Print hal-01985024, HAL.
    5. Nelson, Daniel B, 1991. "Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(2), pages 347-370, March.
    6. Gürtler, Marc & Paulsen, Thomas, 2018. "The effect of wind and solar power forecasts on day-ahead and intraday electricity prices in Germany," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 150-162.
    7. Bahl, Björn & Lampe, Matthias & Voll, Philip & Bardow, André, 2017. "Optimization-based identification and quantification of demand-side management potential for distributed energy supply systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 889-899.
    8. Kwiatkowski, Denis & Phillips, Peter C. B. & Schmidt, Peter & Shin, Yongcheol, 1992. "Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root : How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 54(1-3), pages 159-178.
    9. Dickey, David A & Fuller, Wayne A, 1981. "Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 49(4), pages 1057-1072, June.
    10. Swantje Sundt & Katrin Rehdanz & Jürgen Meyerhoff, 2020. "Consumers’ Willingness to Accept Time-of-Use Tariffs for Shifting Electricity Demand," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(8), pages 1-17, April.
    11. François Benhmad & Jacques Percebois, 2018. "Photovoltaic and wind power feed-in impact on electricity prices: The case of Germany," Post-Print hal-01830537, HAL.
    12. Yukseltan, Ergun & Yucekaya, Ahmet & Bilge, Ayse Humeyra, 2017. "Forecasting electricity demand for Turkey: Modeling periodic variations and demand segregation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 287-296.
    13. Meyabadi, A. Fattahi & Deihimi, M.H., 2017. "A review of demand-side management: Reconsidering theoretical framework," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 367-379.
    14. Ribó-Pérez, David & Van der Weijde, Adriaan H. & Álvarez-Bel, Carlos, 2019. "Effects of self-generation in imperfectly competitive electricity markets: The case of Spain," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    15. Ruokamo, Enni & Kopsakangas-Savolainen, Maria & Meriläinen, Teemu & Svento, Rauli, 2019. "Towards flexible energy demand – Preferences for dynamic contracts, services and emissions reductions," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    16. Cyril Martin de Lagarde & Frédéric Lantz, 2018. "How renewable production depresses electricity prices: Evidence from the German market," Post-Print hal-01986207, HAL.
    17. Lockwood, Matthew & Mitchell, Catherine & Hoggett, Richard, 2020. "Incumbent lobbying as a barrier to forward-looking regulation: The case of demand-side response in the GB capacity market for electricity," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    18. Sinn, Hans-Werner, 2017. "Buffering volatility: A study on the limits of Germany's energy revolution," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 99(C), pages 130-150.
    19. Ambrosius, Mirjam & Grimm, Veronika & Sölch, Christian & Zöttl, Gregor, 2018. "Investment incentives for flexible demand options under different market designs," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 372-389.
    20. Kaiser, Micha & Bernauer, Manuela & Sunstein, Cass R. & Reisch, Lucia A., 2020. "The power of green defaults: the impact of regional variation of opt-out tariffs on green energy demand in Germany," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 174(C).
    21. Pacudan, Romeo & Hamdan, Mahani, 2019. "Electricity tariff reforms, welfare impacts, and energy poverty implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 332-343.
    22. Hinderks, W.J. & Wagner, A., 2020. "Factor models in the German electricity market: Stylized facts, seasonality, and calibration," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    23. Wang, Dan & Hu, Qing'e & Jia, Hongjie & Hou, Kai & Du, Wei & Chen, Ning & Wang, Xudong & Fan, Menghua, 2019. "Integrated demand response in district electricity-heating network considering double auction retail energy market based on demand-side energy stations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 248(C), pages 656-678.
    24. Martin de Lagarde, Cyril & Lantz, Frédéric, 2018. "How renewable production depresses electricity prices: Evidence from the German market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 263-277.
    25. Benhmad, François & Percebois, Jacques, 2018. "Photovoltaic and wind power feed-in impact on electricity prices: The case of Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 317-326.
    26. Wohlfarth, Katharina & Klobasa, Marian & Gutknecht, Ralph, 2020. "Demand response in the service sector – Theoretical, technical and practical potentials," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 258(C).
    27. Sensfuß, Frank & Ragwitz, Mario & Genoese, Massimo, 2008. "The merit-order effect: A detailed analysis of the price effect of renewable electricity generation on spot market prices in Germany," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(8), pages 3076-3084, August.
    28. Godoy-González, Diego & Gil, Esteban & Gutiérrez-Alcaraz, Guillermo, 2020. "Ramping ancillary service for cost-based electricity markets with high penetration of variable renewable energy," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    29. Alasseri, Rajeev & Rao, T. Joji & Sreekanth, K.J., 2020. "Institution of incentive-based demand response programs and prospective policy assessments for a subsidized electricity market," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 117(C).
    30. Stainsby, Wendell & Zimmerle, Daniel & Duggan, Gerald P., 2020. "A method to estimate residential PV generation from net-metered load data and system install date," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    31. Jerzy Andruszkiewicz & Józef Lorenc & Agnieszka Weychan, 2019. "Demand Price Elasticity of Residential Electricity Consumers with Zonal Tariff Settlement Based on Their Load Profiles," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-22, November.
    32. Dranka, Géremi Gilson & Ferreira, Paula, 2019. "Review and assessment of the different categories of demand response potentials," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 280-294.
    33. Olsthoorn, Mark & Schleich, Joachim & Wohlfarth, Katharina & Klobasa, Marian, 2019. "How much load flexibility can a euro buy? Findings from a contingent valuation experiment with companies in the German commerce and services sector," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(S1).
    34. Hinderks, W.J. & Wagner, A., 2019. "Pricing German Energiewende products: Intraday cap/floor futures," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 287-296.
    35. Hu, Jing & Harmsen, Robert & Crijns-Graus, Wina & Worrell, Ernst & van den Broek, Machteld, 2018. "Identifying barriers to large-scale integration of variable renewable electricity into the electricity market: A literature review of market design," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P2), pages 2181-2195.
    36. Goutam Dutta & Krishnendranath Mitra, 2017. "A literature review on dynamic pricing of electricity," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 68(10), pages 1131-1145, October.
    37. Alasseri, Rajeev & Tripathi, Ashish & Joji Rao, T. & Sreekanth, K.J., 2017. "A review on implementation strategies for demand side management (DSM) in Kuwait through incentive-based demand response programs," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 617-635.
    38. Abdul Conteh & Mohammed Elsayed Lotfy & Oludamilare Bode Adewuyi & Paras Mandal & Hiroshi Takahashi & Tomonobu Senjyu, 2020. "Demand Response Economic Assessment with the Integration of Renewable Energy for Developing Electricity Markets," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-20, March.
    39. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
    40. Iliopoulos, Nikolaos & Esteban, Miguel & Kudo, Shogo, 2020. "Assessing the willingness of residential electricity consumers to adopt demand side management and distributed energy resources: A case study on the Japanese market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Macedo, Daniela Pereira & Marques, António Cardoso & Damette, Olivier, 2021. "The Merit-Order Effect on the Swedish bidding zone with the highest electricity flow in the Elspot market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    2. Pereira, Diogo Santos & Marques, António Cardoso, 2022. "An analysis of the interactions between daily electricity demand levels in France," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    3. Štefan Bojnec & Alan Križaj, 2021. "Electricity Markets during the Liberalization: The Case of a European Union Country," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-21, July.
    4. Shi-Yi Song & Hong Leng, 2020. "Modeling the Household Electricity Usage Behavior and Energy-Saving Management in Severely Cold Regions," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-22, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Macedo, Daniela Pereira & Marques, António Cardoso & Damette, Olivier, 2022. "The role of electricity flows and renewable electricity production in the behaviour of electricity prices in Spain," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 885-900.
    2. Macedo, Daniela Pereira & Marques, António Cardoso & Damette, Olivier, 2020. "The impact of the integration of renewable energy sources in the electricity price formation: is the Merit-Order Effect occurring in Portugal?," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    3. Kolb, Sebastian & Dillig, Marius & Plankenbühler, Thomas & Karl, Jürgen, 2020. "The impact of renewables on electricity prices in Germany - An update for the years 2014–2018," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    4. Rinne, Sonja, 2024. "Estimating the merit-order effect using coarsened exact matching: Reconciling theory with the empirical results to improve policy implications," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 185(C).
    5. Samarth Kumar & David Schönheit & Matthew Schmidt & Dominik Möst, 2019. "Parsing the Effects of Wind and Solar Generation on the German Electricity Trade Surplus," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-17, September.
    6. Huisman, Ronald & Stet, Cristian, 2022. "The dependence of quantile power prices on supply from renewables," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    7. Burak Gokce & Gizem Kaya & M. Ozgur Kayalica & Gulgun Kayakutlu, 2024. "Impact of Renewable Energy Resources on the Turkish Power Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 14(4), pages 294-304, July.
    8. Panos, Evangelos & Densing, Martin, 2019. "The future developments of the electricity prices in view of the implementation of the Paris Agreements: Will the current trends prevail, or a reversal is ahead?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 84(C).
    9. Abban, Abdul Rashid & Hasan, Mohammad Z., 2021. "Solar energy penetration and volatility transmission to electricity markets—An Australian perspective," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 434-449.
    10. Pereira, Diogo Santos & Marques, António Cardoso, 2022. "An analysis of the interactions between daily electricity demand levels in France," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    11. Saez, Yago & Mochon, Asuncion & Corona, Luis & Isasi, Pedro, 2019. "Integration in the European electricity market: A machine learning-based convergence analysis for the Central Western Europe region," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 549-566.
    12. Macedo, Daniela Pereira & Marques, António Cardoso & Damette, Olivier, 2021. "The Merit-Order Effect on the Swedish bidding zone with the highest electricity flow in the Elspot market," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 102(C).
    13. Marques, António Cardoso & Fuinhas, José Alberto & Macedo, Daniela Pereira, 2019. "The impact of feed-in and capacity policies on electricity generation from renewable energy sources in Spain," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 159-168.
    14. Shi Chen & Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen & Wolfgang Karl Hardle, 2020. "A first econometric analysis of the CRIX family," Papers 2009.12129, arXiv.org.
    15. Meus, Jelle & De Vits, Sarah & S'heeren, Nele & Delarue, Erik & Proost, Stef, 2021. "Renewable electricity support in perfect markets: Economic incentives under diverse subsidy instruments," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 94(C).
    16. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Kontonikas, Alexandros, 2009. "The Euro and inflation uncertainty in the European Monetary Union," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(6), pages 954-971, October.
    17. Johannes W. Fedderke, 2021. "The South African–United States sovereign bond spread and its association with macroeconomic fundamentals," South African Journal of Economics, Economic Society of South Africa, vol. 89(4), pages 499-525, December.
    18. Committee, Nobel Prize, 2003. "Time-series Econometrics: Cointegration and Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity," Nobel Prize in Economics documents 2003-1, Nobel Prize Committee.
    19. Tselika, Kyriaki, 2022. "The impact of variable renewables on the distribution of hourly electricity prices and their variability: A panel approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
    20. Sam Wilkinson & Michele John & Gregory M. Morrison, 2021. "Rooftop PV and the Renewable Energy Transition; a Review of Driving Forces and Analytical Frameworks," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(10), pages 1-25, May.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:juipol:v:66:y:2020:i:c:s0957178720300746. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.sciencedirect.com/journal/utilities-policy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.