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Size, value, and momentum in developed country equity returns: Macroeconomic and liquidity exposures

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  • Cakici, Nusret
  • Tan, Sinan

Abstract

The paper investigates value and momentum factors in 23 developed international stock markets. We find that typically value and momentum premia are smaller and more negatively correlated for large market capitalization stocks relative to small. Momentum factors are more highly correlated internationally relative to value. We provide international evidence on three sets of risk exposures of value and momentum returns: macroeconomic risk, funding liquidity risk, and stock market liquidity risk. We find that value returns are typically lower prior to a recession while momentum returns often exhibit little sensitivity. Value returns are typically lower in times of poor funding liquidity, whereas, with notable exceptions, momentum returns are typically unaffected. Lastly, for almost all countries, value returns are high in poor stock market liquidity conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Cakici, Nusret & Tan, Sinan, 2014. "Size, value, and momentum in developed country equity returns: Macroeconomic and liquidity exposures," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 179-209.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jimfin:v:44:y:2014:i:c:p:179-209
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jimonfin.2013.12.005
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    2. Cakici, Nusret & Tang, Yi & Yan, An, 2016. "Do the size, value, and momentum factors drive stock returns in emerging markets?," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 179-204.
    3. Pätäri, Eero & Karell, Ville & Luukka, Pasi & Yeomans, Julian S, 2018. "Comparison of the multicriteria decision-making methods for equity portfolio selection: The U.S. evidence," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 265(2), pages 655-672.
    4. Mehdi Zolfaghari & Bahram Sahabi, 2021. "The impact of oil price and exchange rate on momentum strategy profits in stock market: evidence from oil-rich developing countries," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 15(7), pages 1981-2023, October.
    5. Apergis, Nicholas & Artikis, Panagiotis G. & Kyriazis, Dimitrios, 2015. "Does stock market liquidity explain real economic activity? New evidence from two large European stock markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 42-64.
    6. Jarno Tikkanen & Janne Äijö, 2018. "Does the F-score improve the performance of different value investment strategies in Europe?," Journal of Asset Management, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 19(7), pages 495-506, December.
    7. Peltomäki, Jarkko & Äijö, Janne, 2015. "Cross-sectional anomalies and volatility risk in different economic and market cycles," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 12(C), pages 17-22.
    8. Romana Bangash & Faisal Khan & Zohra Jabeen, 2018. "Size, Value and Momentum in Pakistan Equity Market: Size and Liquidity Exposures," Global Social Sciences Review, Humanity Only, vol. 3(1), pages 374-392, March.
    9. Nusret Cakici & Sris Chatterjee & Yi Tang & Lin Tong, 2021. "Alternative profitability measures and cross-section of expected stock returns: international evidence," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 56(1), pages 369-391, January.
    10. Dong, Dayong & Wu, Keke & Fang, Jianchun & Gozgor, Giray & Yan, Cheng, 2022. "Investor attention factors and stock returns: Evidence from China," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    11. Wouassom, Alain & Muradoğlu, Yaz Gülnur & Tsitsianis, Nicholas, 2022. "Global momentum: The optimal trading approach," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Finance, Elsevier, vol. 36(C).
    12. Harshita & Shveta Singh & Surendra S. Yadav, 2018. "Changing Nature of the Value Premium in the Indian Stock Market," Vision, , vol. 22(2), pages 135-143, June.
    13. Mousumi Bhattacharya & Sharad Nath Bhattacharya & Sumit Kumar Jha, 2022. "Does time-varying illiquidity matter for the Indian stock market? Evidence from high-frequency data," Australian Journal of Management, Australian School of Business, vol. 47(2), pages 251-272, May.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Developed international equity markets; Value effect; Momentum effect; Macroeconomic risk; Liquidity risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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