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A note on geographical constraints and housing markets in China

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  • Dong, Yilin

Abstract

This paper examines the influence of land supply on housing markets in urban China. The extent to which geographical and man-made land constraints influence housing prices and quantities is explored. Using a sample of 35 cities in China from 2003 to 2012, I find that cities with less naturally available land have experienced greater price appreciation and the quantity response is less in those places. The results imply that geography matters in Chinese housing markets where land is discretely allocated by the government. In cities where there is more land naturally available, the government may be less concerned about the loss of arable land and be more permissive with development. Moreover, my findings imply that the allocation of land use via government decision in China is quasi-exogenous to changes in housing price and quantity, suggesting that decisions by governments about land supply may not be dependent on housing prices.

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  • Dong, Yilin, 2016. "A note on geographical constraints and housing markets in China," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 15-21.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jhouse:v:33:y:2016:i:c:p:15-21
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jhe.2016.06.003
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    Cited by:

    1. Chen, Jie & Hu, Mingzhi & Lin, Zhenguo, 2019. "Does housing unaffordability crowd out elites in Chinese superstar cities?," Journal of Housing Economics, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 1-1.
    2. Jaromir Vrbka & Tomas Krulicky & Tomas Brabenec & Jan Hejda, 2020. "Determining the Increase in a Building’s Appreciation Rate Due to a Reconstruction," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-13, September.
    3. Mingzhi Hu & Zhenguo Lin & Yingchun Liu, 2023. "Amenities, Housing Affordability, and Education Elites," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 66(1), pages 141-168, January.
    4. Xiaoguang Liu & Jian Yu & Tsun Se Cheong & Michal Wojewodzki, 2022. "The Future Evolution of Housing Price-to-Income Ratio in 171 Chinese Cities," Annals of Economics and Finance, Society for AEF, vol. 23(1), pages 159-196, May.
    5. Feng Yuan & Weiye Xiao & Yehua Dennis Wei, 2023. "Heterogeneous mechanisms of urban land price in China: a perspective of natural restrictions and strategic supply," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, December.
    6. Wenbin Huang, 2022. "Government Land Regulations and Housing Supply Elasticity in Urban China," China & World Economy, Institute of World Economics and Politics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, vol. 30(4), pages 122-148, July.

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    Real estate; Land supply;

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