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Multistep forecasting of long memory series using fractional exponential models

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  • Hurvich, Clifford M.

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  • Hurvich, Clifford M., 2002. "Multistep forecasting of long memory series using fractional exponential models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 18(2), pages 167-179.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfor:v:18:y:2002:i:2:p:167-179
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Clifford M. Hurvich & Julia Brodsky, 2001. "Broadband Semiparametric Estimation of the Memory Parameter of a Long‐Memory Time Series Using Fractional Exponential Models," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 22(2), pages 221-249, March.
    2. Eric Moulines & Philippe Soulier, 2000. "Data Driven Order Selection for Projection Estimator of the Spectral Density of Time Series with Long Range Dependence," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(2), pages 193-218, March.
    3. Clifford M. Hurvich & Rohit Deo & Julia Brodsky, 1998. "The mean squared error of Geweke and Porter‐Hudak's estimator of the memory parameter of a long‐memory time series," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 19(1), pages 19-46, January.
    4. G. J. Janacek, 1982. "Determining The Degree Of Differencing For Time Series Via The Log Spectrum," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 3(3), pages 177-183, May.
    5. Hirotugu Akaike, 1969. "Fitting autoregressive models for prediction," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 21(1), pages 243-247, December.
    6. C. W. J. Granger & Roselyne Joyeux, 1980. "An Introduction To Long‐Memory Time Series Models And Fractional Differencing," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 1(1), pages 15-29, January.
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    Cited by:

    1. Deo, Rohit & Hurvich, Clifford & Lu, Yi, 2006. "Forecasting realized volatility using a long-memory stochastic volatility model: estimation, prediction and seasonal adjustment," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 131(1-2), pages 29-58.
    2. McElroy, Tucker & Politis, Dimitris N., 2013. "Distribution theory for the studentized mean for long, short, and negative memory time series," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 177(1), pages 60-74.
    3. Niels Haldrup & Oskar Knapik & Tommaso Proietti, 2016. "A generalized exponential time series regression model for electricity prices," CREATES Research Papers 2016-08, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    4. Man, K. S., 2003. "Long memory time series and short term forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 477-491.
    5. Richard Hunt & Shelton Peiris & Neville Weber, 2022. "Estimation methods for stationary Gegenbauer processes," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 63(6), pages 1707-1741, December.
    6. Guillaume Chevillon, 2007. "Direct Multi‐Step Estimation And Forecasting," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(4), pages 746-785, September.
    7. McElroy, Tucker & Politis, Dimitris N., 2012. "Fixed-B Asymptotics For The Studentized Mean From Time Series With Short, Long, Or Negative Memory," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 28(2), pages 471-481, April.
    8. De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
    9. Proietti, Tommaso & Luati, Alessandra, 2013. "The Exponential Model for the Spectrum of a Time Series: Extensions and Applications," MPRA Paper 45280, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. John Galbraith & Greg Tkacz, 2007. "How Far Can Forecasting Models Forecast? Forecast Content Horizons for Some Important Macroeconomic Variables," Staff Working Papers 07-1, Bank of Canada.
    11. Jan G. de Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-068/4, Tinbergen Institute.
    12. Tommaso Proietti & Niels Haldrup & Oskar Knapik, 2017. "Spikes and memory in (Nord Pool) electricity price spot prices," CEIS Research Paper 422, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 18 Dec 2017.
    13. McElroy, Tucker S. & Holan, Scott H., 2016. "Computation of the autocovariances for time series with multiple long-range persistencies," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 44-56.

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